Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 32

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday


	Siarka Tarnobrzeg		Wisła II Kraków

	1	X	2
	2.32	3.4	2.58
	2.35	3.53	2.49
	2.18	3.56	2.84	Watch
	2.25	3.45	2.64	Watch
	1.88	3.5	3.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (1.88)	3.49 ↓ (3.5)	2.75 ↓ (3.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Siarka Tarnobrzeg
41.2%

Draw
25.9%

Wisła II Kraków
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

25.3%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

23.8%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Siarka Tarnobrzeg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Siarka Tarnobrzeg's form might have worsened.

Wisła II Kraków has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Wisła II Kraków's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Siarka Tarnobrzeg than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Siarka Tarnobrzeg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wisła II Kraków than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Wisła II Kraków, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Wisła II Kraków Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
17', 1 - 0, Waclawek B. ⚽, Podkowa F. (A),
27', 1 - 1, Baniowski F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', 1 - 2, Tokarczyk K. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 12).

Siarka Tarnobrzeg has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Wisła II has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Siarka Tarnobrzeg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Siarka Tarnobrzeg won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Including home match between the teams, Siarka Tarnobrzeg won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Wisla II	12	4	4	4	15:17	-2	16
9	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	12	4	2	6	15:19	-4	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Siarka Tarnobrzeg
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
13.05.26	Stal Kraśnik - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1:1 ✺
09.05.26	Avia Świdnik - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1:0 ✺
02.05.26	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	1:2 ✺
26.04.26	Naprzód Jędrzejów - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Czarni Połaniec	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 TLLTT
- Wisła II Kraków
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
13.05.26	Wisła II Kraków - Cracovia 2	3:1 ✺
09.05.26	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Wisła II Kraków	4:3 ✺
01.05.26	Wisła II Kraków - Korona Kielce 2	2:3 ✺
24.04.26	Wisłoka Dębica - Wisła II Kraków	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Wisła II Kraków - Świdniczanka Świdnik	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
31.10.25	Wisła II Kraków - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	2:2
07.06.25	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Wisła II Kraków	2:0
17.11.24	Wisła II Kraków - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1:1

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