Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 19

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday


	Siarka Tarnobrzeg		Świdniczanka Świdnik

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.25	5.5
	1.4	4.7	5.44
	1.50	4.14	5.39	Watch
	1.4	4.4	6.24	Watch
	1.41	4.5	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.39)	4.4 ↓ (4.75)	5.61 ↑ (5.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Siarka Tarnobrzeg
63.3%

Draw
20.6%

Świdniczanka Świdnik
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.1%

18.8%

17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.7%

17.8%

16.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Siarka Tarnobrzeg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Świdniczanka Świdnik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Siarka Tarnobrzeg than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Świdniczanka Świdnik than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Świdniczanka Świdnik Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Marszalik K. ⚽,
26', 2 - 0, Marszalik K. ⚽,
30', 3 - 0, Szkiela M. ⚽,
32', 4 - 0, Szkiela M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
65', 4 - 1, Tymosiak T. ⚽,
67', 5 - 1, Kardys K. ⚽,
86', 6 - 1, Zawol B. (Pen),

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Siarka Tarnobrzeg has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Świdniczanka is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Świdniczanka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Siarka Tarnobrzeg is a strong favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Siarka Tarnobrzeg won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:5. (average 2.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Siarka Tarnobrzeg won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 3:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Siarka Tarnobrzeg
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
22.11.25	Wiślanie Skawina - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	2:1 ✺
14.11.25	Cracovia 2 - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	0:0 ✺
31.10.25	Wisła II Kraków - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	2:2 ✺
25.10.25	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Stal Kraśnik	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Avia Świdnik	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LTTWT
- Świdniczanka Świdnik
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
22.11.25	Świdniczanka Świdnik - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	1:5 ✺
15.11.25	Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna - Świdniczanka Świdnik	3:0 ✺
08.11.25	Świdniczanka Świdnik - Stal Kraśnik	2:1 ✺
31.10.25	Świdniczanka Świdnik - Naprzód Jędrzejów	0:2 ✺
25.10.25	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów - Świdniczanka Świdnik	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
10.08.25	Świdniczanka Świdnik - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1:2
29.03.25	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Świdniczanka Świdnik	4:2
31.08.24	Świdniczanka Świdnik - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	0:2
07.06.24	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Świdniczanka Świdnik	2:2
20.03.24	Świdniczanka Świdnik - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	0:4

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