Match Info
Premier League - Round 19Date: 5 February 2026, Thursday
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Ethiopian Medhin |
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Fasil Kenema |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.82 |
2.52 |
2.82 |
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2.81 |
2.44 |
3.13 |
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3.04 |
2.53 |
2.75 |
 Watch |
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2.8 |
2.3 |
2.75 |
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2.69 |
2.45 |
3.02 |
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2.75 |
2.45 |
3.14 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.82 ↑
(2.81) |
2.45 ↓
(2.76) |
2.94 ↑
(2.71) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
- The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Ethiopian Medhin
32.1% | Draw
37% | Fasil Kenema
30.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ethiopian Medhin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Fasil Kenema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ethiopian Medhin than the current prediction. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fasil Kenema than the current prediction. (+1.2%)Ethiopian Medhin - Fasil Kenema Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Fasil Kenema will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 0.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 and 4).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ethiopian Medhin won 1.Both teams have been playing unpredictably.Ethiopian Medhin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Ethiopian Medhin won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.5:0.7).Including home matches between the teams, Ethiopian Medhin won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1).
Standings
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 4 | Fasil Kenema | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 28:28 | 0 | 55 |
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| 14 | Ethiopian Insurance | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 30:31 | -1 | 46 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Fasil Kenema - the odds 2.71 are the expected chance of winning is 33.94%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Ethiopian Premier League | | | 13.05.25 | Fasil Kenema - Ethiopian Medhin | 0:2 | | 05.02.25 | Ethiopian Medhin - Fasil Kenema | 0:1 | | 09.03.24 | Ethiopian Medhin - Fasil Kenema | 0:2 | | 13.10.23 | Fasil Kenema - Ethiopian Medhin | 1:1 | | 11.06.23 | Fasil Kenema - Ethiopian Medhin | 0:0 | | 15.12.22 | Ethiopian Medhin - Fasil Kenema | 0:0 |
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