Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 33

Date: 18 March 2023, Saturday


	Siena		Alessandria

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.25	3.4
	1.75	3.1	4.5
	1.72	2.9	4.9
	1.86	3.31	4.06
	1.91	3.1	3.75
	1.84	3.44	3.96	Watch
	2	3.25	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.57)	3.19 ↑ (2.96)	4 ↓ (6.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Siena
48.9%

Draw
28.4%

Alessandria
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

30.2%

12.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3%

29%

12.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Siena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Siena's form might have worsened.

Alessandria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alessandria's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Siena than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Siena, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alessandria than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alessandria, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Siena - Alessandria Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs and 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Siena won 3.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Siena is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Siena won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Siena won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Siena FC
Italian Serie C Group B
14.03.23	Lucchese - Siena	1:1 ✺
11.03.23	Siena - Vis Pesaro	4:0 ✺
05.03.23	San Donato Tavarnelle - Siena	1:1 ✺
25.02.23	Siena - Recanatese	1:1 ✺
19.02.23	Rimini - Siena	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TWTTT
- Alessandria 1912
Italian Serie C Group B
14.03.23	Alessandria - Fermana	1:1 ✺
11.03.23	Alessandria - Lucchese	0:1 ✺
05.03.23	Recanatese - Alessandria	1:2 ✺
26.02.23	Alessandria - Vis Pesaro	2:2 ✺
19.02.23	Sassari Torres - Alessandria	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
20.11.22	Alessandria - Siena	0:1
Italian Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs
05.07.20	Alessandria - Siena	3:2
Italian Serie C Group A
01.12.19	Alessandria - Siena	1:3
10.02.19	Siena - Alessandria	3:1
14.10.18	Alessandria - Siena	1:1
04.02.18	Alessandria - Siena	1:1
24.09.17	Siena - Alessandria	0:0

Siena - Alessandria: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide