Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 31

Date: 11 March 2023, Saturday


	Siena		Vis Pesaro

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.3	5
	1.7	3.2	4.5
	1.64	3.2	4.8
	1.66	3.52	4.67
	1.6	3.25	5.5
	1.57	3.64	5.7	Watch
	1.66	3.4	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.73)	3.36 ↑ (2.95)	5.01 ↑ (4.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Siena
55.1%

Draw
26.9%

Vis Pesaro
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

30.2%

18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

28.8%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Siena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Vis Pesaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Siena than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Siena that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vis Pesaro than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	50%	16.7%

Siena - Vis Pesaro Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Siena will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Vis Pesaro will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs and 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

Recent matches Siena is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Vis Pesaro is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Siena is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Siena won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Siena won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Siena FC
Italian Serie C Group B
05.03.23	San Donato Tavarnelle - Siena	1:1 ✺
25.02.23	Siena - Recanatese	1:1 ✺
19.02.23	Rimini - Siena	0:0 ✺
15.02.23	Siena - Sassari Torres	2:2
04.02.23	Cesena - Siena	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TTTTL
- SSD Vis Pesaro 1898
Italian Serie C Group B
05.03.23	Vis Pesaro - Reggiana	0:3 ✺
26.02.23	Alessandria - Vis Pesaro	2:2 ✺
19.02.23	Lucchese - Vis Pesaro	3:0 ✺
15.02.23	Vis Pesaro - Pontedera	1:1 ✺
12.02.23	Vis Pesaro - Rimini	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
05.11.22	Vis Pesaro - Siena	0:2
22.12.21	Vis Pesaro - Siena	2:1
29.08.21	Siena - Vis Pesaro	3:0

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