Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 15

Date: 26 November 2022, Saturday

Location: Stadio Artemio Franchi (Siena)


	Siena		Carrarese

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.87	2.95
	2.25	2.8	3.2
	2.38	2.8	2.95
	2.39	2.85	3.1
	2.35	2.88	3
	2.3	3.04	3.04	Watch
	2.4	2.9	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.07)	2.88 ↓ (2.98)	3.03 ↓ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Siena
38.7%

Draw
31.4%

Carrarese
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

29.9%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

28.4%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Siena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Carrarese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Siena than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Siena, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	28.6%	28.6%

Siena - Carrarese Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Siena will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Carrarese will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Siena won 2.

Recent matches Siena is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Carrarese is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Siena will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Siena won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 15-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Siena won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Siena FC
Italian Serie C Group B
20.11.22	Alessandria - Siena	0:1 ✺
13.11.22	Siena - Lucchese	0:1 ✺
05.11.22	Vis Pesaro - Siena	0:2 ✺
29.10.22	Siena - San Donato Tavarnelle	3:0 ✺
23.10.22	Recanatese - Siena	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLWWL
- Carrarese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
20.11.22	Carrarese - Olbia	1:0 ✺
13.11.22	Fiorenzuola - Carrarese	2:0 ✺
05.11.22	Carrarese - Fermana	2:0 ✺
29.10.22	Rimini - Carrarese	0:1 ✺
24.10.22	Carrarese - Reggiana	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
24.02.22	Carrarese - Siena	3:1
12.09.21	Siena - Carrarese	3:0
Italian Serie C Group A
19.01.20	Carrarese - Siena	3:1
08.09.19	Siena - Carrarese	0:2
18.04.19	Siena - Carrarese	3:0
16.12.18	Carrarese - Siena	1:2
12.02.18	Siena - Carrarese	0:0

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