Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 14

Date: 20 November 2022, Sunday

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Moccagatta (Alessandria)


	Alessandria		Siena

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.1	2.25
	2.9	2.9	2.35
	2.9	2.9	2.28
	3.17	2.96	2.28
	3	3	2.25
	3.05	3.15	2.23	Watch
	2.95	3.1	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↓ (3.25)	3.02 ↑ (2.88)	2.28 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alessandria
30.4%

Draw
29.9%

Siena
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.7%

31.3%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8%

31.2%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alessandria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Siena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alessandria than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Siena than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Alessandria - Siena Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Alessandria won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Siena could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Alessandria won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Alessandria won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alessandria 1912
Coppa Italia Serie C
16.11.22	Alessandria - Renate	0:2 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
13.11.22	Fermana - Alessandria	0:0 ✺
05.11.22	Lucchese - Alessandria	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
02.11.22	Pro Patria - Alessandria	1:2 ET ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
29.10.22	Alessandria - Recanatese	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 LTWWL
- Siena FC
Italian Serie C Group B
13.11.22	Siena - Lucchese	0:1 ✺
05.11.22	Vis Pesaro - Siena	0:2 ✺
29.10.22	Siena - San Donato Tavarnelle	3:0 ✺
23.10.22	Recanatese - Siena	2:1 ✺
19.10.22	Siena - Rimini	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs
05.07.20	Alessandria - Siena	3:2
Italian Serie C Group A
01.12.19	Alessandria - Siena	1:3
10.02.19	Siena - Alessandria	3:1
14.10.18	Alessandria - Siena	1:1
04.02.18	Alessandria - Siena	1:1
24.09.17	Siena - Alessandria	0:0
18.03.17	Siena - Alessandria	2:0

Alessandria - Siena: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide