Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 21

Date: 8 January 2023, Sunday

Location: Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore (Reggio Emilia)


	Reggiana		Siena

	1	X	2
	1.93	2.95	3.7	Watch
	1.89	3	4
	1.92	2.95	3.85
	1.85	3.09	4.42
	1.91	2.88	4.2
	1.86	3.08	4.33	Watch
	1.93	3.1	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.6)	3.01 ↓ (3.28)	4.05 ↓ (5.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Reggiana
47.6%

Draw
30.1%

Siena
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.3%

27.5%

16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3%

26.1%

15.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reggiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Reggiana's form might have worsened.

Siena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Siena's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reggiana than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Reggiana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Siena than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Siena, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	0%	30%

Reggiana - Siena Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Reggiana will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Siena will win (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Reggiana: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Reggiana 1919
Italian Serie C Group B
23.12.22	Lucchese - Reggiana	0:1 ✺
17.12.22	Imolese - Reggiana	0:1 ✺
10.12.22	Reggiana - Olbia	0:0 ✺
03.12.22	Fermana - Reggiana	0:3 ✺
29.11.22	Recanatese - Reggiana	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWTWW
- Siena FC
Italian Serie C Group B
23.12.22	Siena - Ancona	0:0 ✺
17.12.22	Virtus Entella - Siena	1:2 ✺
10.12.22	Siena - Fiorenzuola	1:1 ✺
03.12.22	Gubbio - Siena	2:0 ✺
29.11.22	Siena - Fermana	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
11.09.22	Siena - Reggiana	1:0
30.01.22	Reggiana - Siena	1:0
25.09.21	Siena - Reggiana	0:2
Italian Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs
03.06.18	Siena - Reggiana	2:1
30.05.18	Reggiana - Siena	2:1

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