Match Info

Conference League - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 19 February 2026, Thursday

Location: Andruv stadion (Olomouc)

Referee: van der Eijk S. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	New World Sport 7
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	Paramount+, Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1
Canada	DAZN Canada
China	ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Viaplay
France	CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 7
Germany	RTL+
Greece	ANT 1+
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Iceland	Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	DAZN / App
Russia	Okko Sport
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	Sport 1
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 9
Sweden	Disney+
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	VIX App


	Sigma Olomouc		Lausanne-Sport

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.2	2.8
	2.3	3.4	2.7
	2.58	3.05	2.78
	2.63	3.21	2.87
	2.56	3.26	2.86	Watch
	2.5	3.1	2.7
	2.62	3.25	2.92
	2.57	3.2	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.39)	3.21 ↓ (3.37)	2.81 ↓ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sigma Olomouc
37.1%

Draw
29.4%

Lausanne-Sport
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

28%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

29.1%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sigma Olomouc has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Lausanne-Sport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sigma Olomouc than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lausanne-Sport than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	22.7%	31.8%

Sigma Olomouc - Lausanne Sport Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Sigma will win (votes: 10 - 45.5%). Lausanne-Sport will win (votes: 7 - 31.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 22.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sigma: 24.7% – 66.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sigma (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Sigma (1.80) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH 0, 2nd Half - Sigma (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Lausanne-Sport (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Lausanne-Sport (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Sigma (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Lausanne-Sport (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
91. Koutny J. (G) 22. Hadas M. 2. Sylla A. 33. Maly M. 13. Slama J. 47. Beran M. 14. Rusek A. 88. Barath P. 70. Ghali A. 9. Kliment J. (C) 7. Sturm D.	25. Letica K. (G) 2. Soppy B. 14. Mouanga K. 71. Sow K. 93. Fofana S. 10. Custodio O. (C) 8. Roche J. 16. Beloko N. 70. Diakite G. 78. Janneh O. 11. Butler-Oyedeji N.
Substitutes
24. Drabek D. 98. Hruska M. (G) 32. Jalovicor S. 39. Janosek D. 25. Mikulenka M. 3. Siegl P. 6. Sip J. 16. Slavicek F. 8. Spacil J. 29. Stoppen T. (G) 35. Yasser M.	7. Ajdini A. 6. Bergvall T. 19. Bruchez E. 1. Castella T. (G) 61. Grosso E. (G) 22. Kana-Biyik E. 27. Lekoueiry B. 54. Lippo R. 91. Mollet F. 5. Ngonzo D. 59. Renovales O. 17. Traore S.
Coaches
Janotka T.	Zeidler P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Butler-Oyedeji N. ⚽, Janneh O. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ghali A. ↓, Sip J. ↑,
52', Fofana S. 🟨,
54', Beloko N. ↓, Mollet F. ↑,
58', 1 - 1, Sturm D. ⚽, Barath P. (A),
62', Custodio O. ↓, Lekoueiry B. ↑,
62', Janneh O. ↓, Traore S. ↑,
69', Hadas M. 🟨,
81', Barath P. 🟨,
81', Butler-Oyedeji N. ↓, Bergvall T. ↑,
85', Hadas M. ↓, Slavicek F. ↑,
89', Lekoueiry B. 🟨,
90', Sow K. 🟨,

Preview

First leg.

Recent performances by Sigma have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Lausanne-Sport has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Sigma may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Sigma has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Sigma Olomouc - the odds 2.39 are the expected chance of winning is 39.52%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sigma Olomouc
Czech 1 Liga
14.02.26	Sigma Olomouc - Viktoria Plzeň	1:2 ✺
07.02.26	Baník Ostrava - Sigma Olomouc	2:0 ✺
31.01.26	Sigma Olomouc - Hradec Králové	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
24.01.26	Sigma Olomouc - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	1:1 ✺
20.01.26	Sigma Olomouc - Philadelphia Union	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLWTT
- Lausanne-Sport
Swiss Super League
15.02.26	Lausanne-Sport - Servette	3:3 ✺
12.02.26	Thun - Lausanne-Sport	5:1 ✺
08.02.26	Lausanne-Sport - St. Gallen	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Winterthur - Lausanne-Sport	2:1 ✺
24.01.26	Lausanne-Sport - Grasshoppers	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 TLTLT

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