Match Info

Conference League - League phase - Round 6

Date: 18 December 2025, Thursday

Location: Andruv stadion (Olomouc)

Referee: Kolaric P. (Cro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1
Chile	Disney+
China	ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 11
Germany	RTL+
Greece	ANT 1+
Iceland	Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect
Poland	Polsat Sport Premium 2
Portugal	DAZN / App
Russia	Okko Sport
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 14
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 17, Blue Sport 17
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 11
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	VIX App


	Sigma Olomouc		Lech Poznań

	1	X	2
	2.9	3	2.5
	2.98	2.88	2.58
	3.22	3	2.52
	3.08	2.95	2.57	Watch
	3.1	2.75	2.5
	3.16	3.06	2.45
	3.2	2.83	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.09 ↑ (2.61)	2.92 ↓ (3.24)	2.52 ↓ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Sigma Olomouc
30.4%

Draw
32.2%

Lech Poznań
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

29%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

29.3%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sigma Olomouc has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sigma Olomouc's form might have worsened.

Lech Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sigma Olomouc than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sigma Olomouc, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.4%	80.8%	12.8%

Sigma Olomouc - Lech Poznań Predictions

Users Predictions: 76 users predict this event. Sigma will win (votes: 4 - 5.3%). Lech will win (votes: 10 - 13.2%). It will Tie (votes: 62 - 81.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 72.9% – 90.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 44 Selected Experts predict this event. Lech (votes: 1 - 2.3%). Tie (votes: 43 - 97.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5 - under (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH 0 - Sigma (2.10) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 46 Selected Experts predict this event. Sigma (votes: 2 - 4.3%). Lech (votes: 1 - 2.2%). Tie (votes: 43 - 93.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
91. Koutny J. (G) 22. Hadas M. 2. Sylla A. 21. Kral J. 16. Slavicek F. 37. Langer S. 7. Breite R. (C) 10. Kostadinov T. 70. Ghali A. 15. Vasulin D. 30. Navratil J.	41. Mrozek B. (G) 2. Pereira J. 27. Monka W. 72. Skrzypczak M. 15. Gurgul M. 43. Kozubal A. 6. Ouma T. 88. Ismaheel T. 99. Rodriguez P. 77. Palma L. 9. Ishak M. (C)
Substitutes
77. Dolznikov A. 98. Hruska M. (G) 39. Janosek D. 9. Kliment J. 33. Maly M. 75. Michez S. 66. Siegl P. 6. Sip J. 13. Slama J. 29. Stoppen T. (G) 26. Tijani M. 80. Zahradnicek V.	7. Agnero Y. 31. Bakowski K. (G) 21. Baranski B. 14. Bengtsson L. 53. Dudek S. 19. Fiabema B. 8. Gholizadeh A. 20. Gumny R. 54. Jakobczyk K. 56. Lisman K. 4. Moutinho J. 33. Pruchniewski M. (G)
Coaches
Janotka T.	Frederiksen N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
35', 0 - 1, Ishak M. ⚽, Gurgul M. (A),
45+1', Sylla A. 🟨,
45+1', 0 - 2, Ishak M. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ghali A. ↓, Sip J. ↑,
53', Langer S. ↓, Kliment J. ↑,
59', Ishak M. (Penalty Awarded),
59', Breite R. 🟨,
62', Palma L. ↓, Bengtsson L. ↑,
72', Ismaheel T. ↓, Lisman K. ↑,
72', Rodriguez P. ↓, Gholizadeh A. ↑,
76', Navratil J. ↓, Dolznikov A. ↑,
84', 1 - 2, Kral J. ⚽, Kostadinov T. (A),
85', Vasulin D. ↓, Tijani M. ↑,
88', Pereira J. ↓, Gumny R. ↑,
88', Ishak M. ↓, Agnero Y. ↑,
90', Ouma T. 🟨,

Preview

Sigma is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Lech is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Lech may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Sigma: Digana T. (Inactive) Dumitrescu A. (Injury) Leibl M. (Injury) Mikulenka M. (Injury) Muritala Y. (Knee Injury) Tkac D. (Inactive) Trefil J. (Inactive) Vrastil L. (Inactive) Yasser M. (Injury)

There will not play in Lech: Douglas A. (Inactive) Hakans D. (Ankle Injury) Milic A. (Injury) Murawski R. (Surgery) Thordarson G. (Injury) Walemark P. (Surgery)

There are questionable in Sigma: Huk T. (Injury)

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sigma Olomouc
Czech 1 Liga
14.12.25	Zlín - Sigma Olomouc	5:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
11.12.25	Lincoln Red Imps - Sigma Olomouc	2:1 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
06.12.25	Sigma Olomouc - Sparta Prague	0:1 ✺
30.11.25	Slovan Liberec - Sigma Olomouc	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.11.25	Sigma Olomouc - Celje	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLLW
- Lech Poznań
UEFA Europa Conference League
11.12.25	Lech Poznań - Mainz	1:1 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
07.12.25	Cracovia - Lech Poznań	2:2 ✺
Polish Cup
03.12.25	Piast Gliwice - Lech Poznań	0:2 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
30.11.25	Wisła Płock - Lech Poznań	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.11.25	Lech Poznań - Lausanne-Sport	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TTWTW

Upcoming Matches