Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 4

Date: 16 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Orlen Stadion (Płock)


	Wisła Płock		Lech Poznań

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.55	1.92
	3.8	3.9	1.72
	3.94	4	1.82	Watch
	4.55	3.45	1.74
	4.49	3.42	1.79	Watch
	3.5	3.5	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.98 ↓ (4.19)	3.64 ↑ (3.54)	1.82 ↓ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Wisła Płock
23.3%

Draw
25.5%

Lech Poznań
51.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.4%

26.5%

51.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.9%

25.9%

52.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wisła Płock has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

The chances for Lech Poznań have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wisła Płock than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Wisła Płock - Lech Poznań Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Preview

Postponed due to european competitions.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wisła Płock won 1.

Wisła Płock has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Lech is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Lech may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Lech is the team to beat.

There will not play in Lech: Bengtsson L. (Inactive) Gholizadeh A. (Knee Injury) Jagiello F. (Injury)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Wisła Płock won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 13:32. (average 0.7:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Wisła Płock won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 0.3:1).

Outrights of Polish Ekstraklasa for now

Lech Poznan: 47.5% Wisla Plock: 0.83%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Lech Poznan	9	7	1	1	21:8	13	22
12	Wisla Plock	9	3	2	4	9:15	-6	11

Last Results with these Odds

Lech Poznań - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 51.07%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wisła Płock
Polish Ekstraklasa
07.08.26	Wisła Kraków - Wisła Płock	2:1 ✺
31.07.26	Wisła Płock - Widzew Łódź	0:0 ✺
26.07.26	Raków Częstochowa - Wisła Płock	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
14.07.26	Wisła Płock - Bohemians 1905	2:0 ✺
11.07.26	Wisła Płock - Baník Ostrava	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 LTWWT
- Lech Poznań
UEFA Europa League
14.08.26	KÍ Klaksvík - Lech Poznań	0:5 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
09.08.26	Lech Poznań - Piast Gliwice	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
06.08.26	Lech Poznań - KÍ Klaksvík	1:0 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
01.08.26	Wieczysta Kraków - Lech Poznań	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
29.07.26	Lech Poznań - AGF Aarhus	1:5 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
23.05.26	Lech Poznań - Wisła Płock	2:2
30.11.25	Wisła Płock - Lech Poznań	0:0
Club Friendly
03.02.24	Lech Poznań - Wisła Płock	4:0
Polish Ekstraklasa
11.02.23	Wisła Płock - Lech Poznań	0:1
31.07.22	Lech Poznań - Wisła Płock	1:3
16.04.22	Wisła Płock - Lech Poznań	0:1
22.10.21	Lech Poznań - Wisła Płock	4:1

Upcoming Matches