Match Info

Chance Liga - Round 22

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Andruv stadion (Olomouc)

Referee: Cerny D. (Cze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1
Slovakia	Voyo


	Sigma Olomouc		Viktoria Plzeň

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.2	2.1	Watch
	3.15	3.2	2.2	Watch
	3.54	3.17	2.25
	3.36	3.32	2.15	Watch
	3.2	3	2.25
	3.4	3.13	2.18	Watch
	3.25	3.2	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.31 ↓ (3.67)	3.17 ↓ (3.33)	2.2 ↑ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sigma Olomouc
28.2%

Draw
29.4%

Viktoria Plzeň
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25%

27.6%

47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.2%

26.7%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sigma Olomouc has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Viktoria Plzeň has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sigma Olomouc than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Viktoria Plzeň than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Viktoria Plzeň could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	21.4%	64.3%

Sigma Olomouc - Viktoria Plzeň Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Sigma will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Plzeň will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Plzeň: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Viktoria Plzeň will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
91. Koutny J. (G) 22. Hadas M. 2. Sylla A. 3. Lurvink L. 4. Elbel J. 47. Beran M. 88. Barath P. 70. Ghali A. 6. Sip J. 7. Sturm D. 14. Rusek A. (C)	44. Wiegele F. (G) 99. Memic A. 37. Krcik D. 21. Jemelka V. 14. Doski M. 6. Cerv L. (C) 17. Hrosovsky P. 19. Souare C. 18. Ladra T. 9. Visinsky D. 70. Lawal S.
Substitutes
98. Hruska M. (G) 39. Janosek D. 19. Jezierski J. 9. Kliment J. 23. Krivak F. 33. Maly M. 25. Mikulenka M. 10. Sejk V. 13. Slama J. 16. Slavicek F. 35. Yasser M.	80. Adu P. 40. Dweh S. 16. Kadlec A. 20. Panos J. 29. Sloncik T. 12. Sojka A. 5. Spacil K. 1. Tapaj D. (G) 13. Tvrdon M. (G) 32. Valenta M. 11. Vydra M.
Coaches
Janotka T.	Hysky M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
17', 0 - 1, Lawal S. ⚽,
22', 1 - 1, Sturm D. ⚽,
34', Visinsky D. 🟨,
37', Sip J. 🟨,
45', 1 - 2, Krcik D. ⚽, Hrosovsky P. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Janotka T. 🟨,
58', Beran M. ↓, Kliment J. ↑,
58', Sip J. ↓, Jezierski J. ↑,
66', Kliment J. 🟨,
67', Lawal S. ↓, Vydra M. ↑,
67', Ladra T. ↓, Sojka A. ↑,
68', Elbel J. 🟨,
70', Ghali A. ↓, Mikulenka M. ↑,
70', Rusek A. ↓, Sejk V. ↑,
73', Sejk V. 🟨,
77', Visinsky D. ↓, Kadlec A. ↑,
78', Doski M. ↓, Spacil K. ↑,
79', Krcik D. 🟨,
83', Hadas M. ↓, Yasser M. ↑,
87', Cerv L. 🟨,
90+2', Souare C. ↓, Dweh S. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sigma won 1.

Recent performances by Sigma have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Plzeň is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Plzeň might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Sigma: Dembe J. (Knee Injury) Dolznikov A. (Injury) Leibl M. (Muscle Injury) Muritala Y. (Injury) Tkac D. (Muscle Injury) Urica F. (Injury)

There will not play in Plzeň: Paluska J. (Surgery)

There are questionable in Sigma: Kral J. (Knee Injury) Krivak F. (Calf Injury) Sejk V. (Health problems)

There are questionable in Plzeň: Adu P. (Health problems)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sigma won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 17:31. (average 0.9:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Sigma won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:17. (average 1:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Sigma Olomouc	9	5	1	3	16:13	3	16
10	Plzen	10	3	4	3	20:17	3	13

Last Results with these Odds

Viktoria Plzeň - the odds 1.94 are the expected chance of winning is 47.35%, but this team recently wins 90% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sigma Olomouc
Czech 1 Liga
07.02.26	Baník Ostrava - Sigma Olomouc	2:0 ✺
31.01.26	Sigma Olomouc - Hradec Králové	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
24.01.26	Sigma Olomouc - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	1:1 ✺
20.01.26	Sigma Olomouc - Philadelphia Union	1:1 ✺
16.01.26	Legia Warsaw - Sigma Olomouc	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWTTL
- Viktoria Plzeň
Czech 1 Liga
08.02.26	Viktoria Plzeň - Slovan Liberec	3:1 ✺
01.02.26	Karviná - Viktoria Plzeň	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
29.01.26	Basel - Viktoria Plzeň	0:1 ✺
22.01.26	Viktoria Plzeň - Porto	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
15.01.26	Viktoria Plzeň - SønderjyskE	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Czech 1 Liga
13.09.25	Viktoria Plzeň - Sigma Olomouc	1:0
18.05.25	Sigma Olomouc - Viktoria Plzeň	1:2
03.02.25	Sigma Olomouc - Viktoria Plzeň	2:1
17.09.24	Viktoria Plzeň - Sigma Olomouc	2:1
17.12.23	Sigma Olomouc - Viktoria Plzeň	1:3
Czech Cup
16.11.23	Sigma Olomouc - Viktoria Plzeň	1:3
Czech 1 Liga
20.08.23	Viktoria Plzeň - Sigma Olomouc	2:1

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