Match Info

MALTA: Challenge League - Relegation Group - Round 3

Date: 2 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Victor Tedesco Stadium (Hamrun)


	Sirens		Mtarfa

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.7	4.4
				Watch
	1.65	3.71	4.32
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.45)	3.71 ↓ (4.2)	4.36 ↓ (5.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sirens
55.2%

Draw
24.2%

Mtarfa
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

21.6%

15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

15%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sirens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sirens's form might have worsened.

Mtarfa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sirens than the current prediction. (-11.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sirens that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mtarfa than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Sirens - Mtarfa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Spiteri M. J. (G) 18. Akadom H. 16. Attard J. 17. Borg J. (C) 2. Camilleri G. 5. Carlos Chaba 21. De Bortoli L. 10. Gilberto 3. Grech Z. 4. Mercieca R. 11. Muscat K.	1. Tabone F. (C) 97. Agbakwuru J. C. 8. Azzopardi A. 17. Cutajar C. 10. Falzon D. 22. Fenech K. P. 6. Grech L. 4. Matheus Freitas 7. Mensah E. 13. Micallef M. 14. Senna Azzopardi A.
Substitutes
14. Agius M. 15. Borg K. 12. Cassar A. (G) 8. Degabriele H. 6. Elfarsi S. 19. Galea T. 13. Grima M. (G) 20. Matthews C. W. 9. Nonato T.	20. Azzopardi A. 3. Azzopardi Z. 88. Chetcuti J. 5. Dalli C. 15. Galea K. 9. Hassan J. 12. Spagnol Z. 11. Tong Callus C. 23. Tonna R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Carlos Chaba (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', Matheus Freitas ↓, Hassan J. ↑,
60', Falzon D. ↓, Tonna R. ↑,
63', Muscat K. 🟨,
67', Gilberto ↓, Nonato T. ↑,
69', 1 - 1, Agbakwuru J. C. ⚽,
74', Camilleri G. ↓, Agius M. ↑,
79', Azzopardi A. ↓, Azzopardi Z. ↑,
80', Muscat K. ↓, Elfarsi S. ↑,

Preview

Recent matches Sirens is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Mtarfa is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Mtarfa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Sirens is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Sirens won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1

Including matches at home between the teams Sirens won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sirens FC
Maltese Challenge League
23.02.25	Żebbuġ Rangers - Sirens	1:3 ✺
16.02.25	Lija Athletic - Sirens	1:2 ✺
09.02.25	Sirens - Fgura United	1:2 ✺
01.02.25	Tarxien Rainbows - Sirens	2:1 ✺
26.01.25	Sirens - Senglea Athletic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWLLL
- Mtarfa FC
Maltese Challenge Cup
27.02.25	Mġarr United - Mtarfa	1:0 ✺
Maltese Challenge League
22.02.25	Mtarfa - Lija Athletic	2:1 ✺
16.02.25	Senglea Athletic - Mtarfa	3:2 ✺
09.02.25	Gudja United - Mtarfa	3:1 ✺
02.02.25	Mtarfa - Valletta	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Challenge League
27.10.24	Sirens - Mtarfa	3:1

Sirens - Mtarfa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide