Match Info

MALTA: Challenge League - Relegation Group - Round 2

Date: 22 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Centenary Stadium (Ta' Qali)


	Mtarfa		Lija Athletic

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.5	1.82
				Watch
	3.35	3.16	2.04
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.43 ↓ (5.63)	3.33 ↓ (4.08)	1.93 ↑ (1.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mtarfa
26.3%

Draw
27%

Lija Athletic
46.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.2%

22.3%

61.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.3%

19.7%

54.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mtarfa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mtarfa's performance.

Lija Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lija Athletic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mtarfa than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mtarfa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lija Athletic than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lija Athletic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mtarfa - Lija Athletic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tabone F. (C) 97. Agbakwuru J. C. 8. Azzopardi A. 3. Azzopardi Z. 17. Cutajar C. 6. Grech L. 9. Hassan J. 7. Mensah E. 13. Micallef M. 14. Senna Azzopardi A. 23. Tonna R.	12. Bonnici L. (C) 5. Azzopardi A. 83. Briffa S. 3. Camilleri J. 11. Costa R. 31. Jackson K. 66. Khatib O. 8. Mifsud M. 4. Muscat L. 33. Sciberras B. 9. Winchester R.
Substitutes
20. Azzopardi A. 22. Cassar H. 88. Chetcuti J. 5. Dalli C. 10. Falzon D. 15. Galea K. 4. Matheus Freitas 12. Spagnol Z. 11. Tong Callus C.	99. Amhamed A. 25. Attard S. 44. Courage O. 21. Fenech M. 2. Giordimaina C. 16. Joyce G. 1. Mallia J. 88. Zammit L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Agbakwuru J. C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', Azzopardi Z. 🟨,
55', Azzopardi Z. ↓, Dalli C. ↑,
57', 2 - 0, Mensah E. ⚽,
69', 2 - 1, ⚽,
82', 🟨,
90', 🟨,

Preview

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Recently Mtarfa have a series of guest games.

In this match Lija is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Mtarfa won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 0.7:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Mtarfa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mtarfa FC
Maltese Challenge League
16.02.25	Senglea Athletic - Mtarfa	3:2 ✺
09.02.25	Gudja United - Mtarfa	3:1 ✺
02.02.25	Mtarfa - Valletta	0:2 ✺
25.01.25	Żebbuġ Rangers - Mtarfa	4:1 ✺
19.01.25	St. Andrews - Mtarfa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLLLW
- Lija Athletic
Maltese Challenge League
16.02.25	Lija Athletic - Sirens	1:2 ✺
08.02.25	Tarxien Rainbows - Lija Athletic	3:1 ✺
01.02.25	Lija Athletic - Fgura United	0:1 ✺
25.01.25	Mġarr United - Lija Athletic	1:1 ✺
18.01.25	Senglea Athletic - Lija Athletic	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Challenge League
03.11.24	Mtarfa - Lija Athletic	2:1
04.02.23	Mtarfa - Lija Athletic	0:1
07.09.22	Lija Athletic - Mtarfa	0:0

Mtarfa - Lija Athletic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide