Match Info

1. Lig - Round 19

Date: 27 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Yeni 4 Eylül Stadyumu (Sivas)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Sivasspor		Bandırmaspor

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.2	2.8	Watch
	2.38	3.29	2.71
	2.38	3.47	2.78	Watch
	2.4	3.2	2.8
	2.35	3.15	2.81	Watch
	2.33	3.25	2.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.31)	3.26 ↓ (3.37)	2.79 ↓ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sivasspor
38.9%

Draw
28.2%

Bandırmaspor
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

27.6%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

26.8%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sivasspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Bandırmaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sivasspor than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bandırmaspor than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	33.3%	6.7%

Sivasspor - Bandırmaspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Sivasspor will win (votes: 9 - 60%). Bandırmaspor will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sivasspor: 35.2% – 84.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Sivasspor (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

1X2, 2nd Half - Sivasspor (2.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Sivasspor (2.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Sivasspor (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bakirbas G. (G) 7. Paluli M. 3. Erdogan O. 6. Yigiter O. 5. Basyigit E. 58. Ciftci U. 15. Fidan K. 80. Celik C. 8. Charisis C. 27. Ethemi V. 11. Badji A.	1. Ozcimen A. (C) 6. Ciftci H. 33. Nukan A. 7. Bacuna L. 77. Berisbek R. 5. Kalender T. 9. Kehinde T. 53. Albayrak M. 11. Topalli J. 99. Douglas Tanque 34. Aydin E.
Substitutes
92. Ala S. 4. Albayrak M. 72. Avramovski D. 53. Baynazoglu Y. (G) 14. Boke T. 23. Kimpioka B. 12. Malle A. 90. Menderes C. 88. Seker T. 26. Yildirim M.	30. Acar E. 16. Alkan A. (G) 88. Can Y. 8. Cinemre E. 10. Gumuskaya M. 17. Ndongala D. 94. Samake W. 18. Turkmen C. 35. Zorluer Y. (G)
Coaches
Altiparmak M.	Gursel M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+4', Kehinde T. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
63', Topalli J. ↓, Acar E. ↑,
63', Kehinde T. ↓, Ndongala D. ↑,
65', Yigiter O. ↓, Avramovski D. ↑,
65', Badji A. ↓, Boke T. ↑,
68', Basyigit E. 🟨,
71', 1 - 0, Boke T. ⚽, Paluli M. (A),
76', Aydin E. ↓, Gumuskaya M. ↑,
76', Douglas Tanque ↓, Samake W. ↑,
78', 2 - 0, Ethemi V. ⚽, Celik C. (A),
84', Fidan K. 🟨,
86', Bacuna L. ↓, Cinemre E. ↑,
90+1', Ethemi V. ↓, Kimpioka B. ↑,
90+4', Fidan K. ↓, Yildirim M. ↑,
90+4', Celik C. ↓, Albayrak M. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13 and 9).

Recent performances by Sivasspor have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Bandırmaspor's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Sivasspor might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Sivasspor: Abdullah Cakmak A. (Suspended) Albayrak M. (Suspended) Appindangoye A. (International duty) Celik M. (Suspended) Menderes C. (Suspended) Pritchard A. (Inactive) Vural A. (Suspended)

There will not play in Bandırmaspor: Celibkay T. (Inactive) Hountondji C. (International duty) Kalender T. (Suspended) Mulumba R. (Yellow Cards)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sivasspor won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 3.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Sivasspor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Sivasspor - the odds 2.31 are the expected chance of winning is 40.25%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sivasspor
Turkish First League
20.12.25	Igdirspor - Sivasspor	1:1 ✺
13.12.25	Sivasspor - Çorum	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	İstanbulspor - Sivasspor	2:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
03.12.25	Sivasspor - Aliaga	1:3 ✺
Turkish First League
30.11.25	Sivasspor - Boluspor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TTLLW
- Bandırmaspor
Turkish First League
20.12.25	Bandırmaspor - Erzurumspor	0:2 ✺
13.12.25	Amed SK - Bandırmaspor	2:1 ✺
08.12.25	Bandırmaspor - Bodrumspor	2:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
04.12.25	Fethiyespor - Bandırmaspor	4:1 ✺
Turkish First League
30.11.25	Sarıyer - Bandırmaspor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Cup
09.02.22	Bandırmaspor - Sivasspor	2:4
Turkish First League
07.05.17	Sivasspor - Bandırmaspor	3:0

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