Match Info

Super Lig - Round 31

Date: 13 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Yeni 4 Eylül Stadyumu (Sivas)

Referee: Yasin K. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


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World	Disney+


	Sivasspor		Fenerbahçe

	1	X	2
	6	4.33	1.5	Watch
	7	5	1.37
	6.1	4.51	1.47	Watch
	6.25	4.61	1.49
	8	4.8	1.36
	6.2	4.64	1.49	Watch
	6.1	4.51	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.52 ↑ (5.8)	4.63 ↑ (4.5)	1.45 ↑ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sivasspor
14.5%

Draw
20.4%

Fenerbahçe
65.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.8%

20.4%

63.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.3%

19.7%

66%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sivasspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Fenerbahçe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sivasspor than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fenerbahçe than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.5%	13.6%	81.8%

Sivasspor - Fenerbahçe Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Sivasspor (2.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.25 - Sivasspor (1.85) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Fenerbahçe (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Fenerbahçe will win (18 of 22 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.7% – 97.94%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Fenerbahçe will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Sivasspor (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Fenerbahçe (votes: 11 - 78.6%). Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Vural A. (G) 7. Paluli M. 26. Radakovic U. 14. Camara S. 3. Ciftci U. (C) 12. Moutoussamy S. 30. Cigerci T. 8. Charisis C. 46. Boke T. 9. Manaj R. 80. Bekiroglu E.	40. Livakovic D. (G) 21. Osayi-Samuel B. 37. Skriniar M. 4. Soyuncu C. 16. Muldur M. 13. Fred 53. Szymanski S. 10. Tadic D. 94. Talisca 97. Saint-Maximin A. 9. Dzeko E.
Substitutes
53. Basyigit E. 58. Erdal Z. 74. Erdursun A. (G) 23. Okumus A. 44. Poungouras A. 10. Pritchard A. 24. Rodrigues G. 22. Simic V. 27. Sonko Sundberg N. 90. Turgunboev A.	95. Akcicek Y. 70. Aydin O. 54. Cetin E. (G) 6. Djiku A. 19. En Nesyri Y. 17. Kahveci I. C. 18. Kostic F. 22. Mercan L. 23. Tosun C. 5. Yuksek I.
Coaches
Calimbay R.	Mourinho J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
27', Charisis C. 🟨,
42', 0 - 1, Talisca ⚽,
45', Paluli M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
47', 0 - 2, Tadic D. ⚽, Dzeko E. (A),
55', Muldur M. 🟨,
57', 1 - 2, Bekiroglu E. ⚽, Ciftci U. (A),
58', Charisis C. ↓, Rodrigues G. ↑,
75', Osayi-Samuel B. 🟨,
81', Saint-Maximin A. ↓, Aydin O. ↑,
81', Dzeko E. ↓, En Nesyri Y. ↑,
83', Moutoussamy S. ↓, Simic V. ↑,
85', Radakovic U. 🟥,
89', Boke T. ↓, Poungouras A. ↑,
89', Talisca ↓, Djiku A. ↑,
90', 1 - 3, Tadic D. ⚽, Aydin O. (A),
90+3', Tadic D. ↓, Kahveci I. C. ↑,
90+3', Szymanski S. ↓, Yuksek I. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sivasspor won 0.

Recent matches Sivasspor is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fenerbahçe is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Fenerbahçe could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Fenerbahçe is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Sivasspor: Albayrak M. (Knee Injury) Bassan E. (Knee Injury) Koita F. (Muscle Injury) Nikolic D. (Injury)

There will not play in Fenerbahçe: Oosterwolde J. (Knee Injury) Rodrigo Becao (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Fenerbahçe: Diego Carlos (Knee Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Sivasspor won 4 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 21:35 (average 1.1:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Sivasspor won 2 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13:13 (average 1.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sivasspor
Turkish Super League
05.04.25	Çaykur Rizespor - Sivasspor	1:1 ✺
29.03.25	Sivasspor - Adana Demirspor	5:1 ✺
16.03.25	Hatayspor - Sivasspor	3:2 ✺
09.03.25	Sivasspor - Göztepe	3:1 ✺
03.03.25	İstanbul Başakşehir - Sivasspor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 TWLWL
- Fenerbahçe
Turkish Super League
06.04.25	Fenerbahçe - Trabzonspor	4:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
02.04.25	Fenerbahçe - Galatasaray	1:2 ✺
Turkish Super League
28.03.25	Bodrumspor - Fenerbahçe	2:4 ✺
16.03.25	Fenerbahçe - Samsunspor	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
13.03.25	Glasgow Rangers - Fenerbahçe	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
10.11.24	Fenerbahçe - Sivasspor	4:0
22.04.24	Sivasspor - Fenerbahçe	2:2
04.12.23	Fenerbahçe - Sivasspor	4:1
Turkish Cup
24.05.23	Fenerbahçe - Sivasspor	3:0
03.05.23	Sivasspor - Fenerbahçe	0:0
Turkish Super League
29.04.23	Sivasspor - Fenerbahçe	1:3
07.11.22	Fenerbahçe - Sivasspor	1:0

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