Match Info

TURKEY: Super Lig - Round 17

Date: 21 December 2024, Saturday

Location: Yeni 4 Eylül Stadyumu (Sivas)

Referee: Sansalan A. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1


	Sivasspor		Samsunspor

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.4	2.1	Watch
	3.3	3.4	2.1
	3.34	3.43	2.12	Watch
	3.61	3.5	2.17
	3.55	3.42	2.1	Watch
	3.4	3.3	2.1
	3.64	3.52	2.14	Watch
	3.34	3.43	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.45 ↑ (3.44)	3.43 ↓ (3.44)	2.12 ↑ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sivasspor
27.5%

Draw
27.7%

Samsunspor
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.3%

45.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

24.6%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sivasspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Samsunspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sivasspor than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samsunspor than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	16.7%	72.2%

Sivasspor - Samsunspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Sivasspor will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). Samsunspor will win (votes: 13 - 72.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Samsunspor: 51.5% – 92.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Vural A. (G) 7. Paluli M. 27. Sonko Sundberg N. 14. Camara S. 3. Ciftci U. (C) 12. Moutoussamy S. 8. Charisis C. 17. Bassan E. 10. Pritchard A. 24. Rodrigues G. 9. Manaj R.	1. Kocuk O. (G) 18. Yavru Z. (C) 37. Satka L. 4. Van Drongelen R. 16. Bola M. 6. Ait Bennasser Y. 10. Ntcham O. 7. Muja A. 21. Holse C. 14. Dimata L. 9. Marius
Substitutes
25. Aksoy O. 53. Basyigit E. 46. Boke T. 58. Erdal Z. 21. Gokay E. 55. Koita F. 11. Menig Q. 13. Nikolic D. (G) 23. Okumus A. 6. Yigiter O.	8. Aydogdu S. 96. Cetin B. 55. Cift Y. E. 28. Gonul S. 29. Kara E. 27. Laura G. 17. Schindler K. 13. Tait F. 45. Yeral H. (G) 5. Yuksel C.
Coaches
Erdogan O.	Reis T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Muja A. 🟨,
40', Van Drongelen R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', Charisis C. 🟨,
65', Rodrigues G. 🟨,
67', Bola M. ↓, Gonul S. ↑,
67', Dimata L. ↓, Schindler K. ↑,
67', Muja A. ↓, Laura G. ↑,
73', Pritchard A. ↓, Menig Q. ↑,
74', Ait Bennasser Y. ↓, Yuksel C. ↑,
84', Holse C. 🟨,
84', Bassan E. ↓, Koita F. ↑,
85', Ntcham O. ↓, Aydogdu S. ↑,
90', Manaj R. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 13 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )).

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Sivasspor could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Samsunspor will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Sivasspor: Albayrak M. (Knee Injury) Radakovic U. (Red Card) Turgunboev A. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Samsunspor: Kilinc E. (Yellow Cards)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Sivasspor won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:5 (average 1:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Sivasspor won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sivasspor
Turkish Cup
18.12.24	Keçiörengücü - Sivasspor	1:4 ✺
Turkish Super League
13.12.24	Bodrumspor - Sivasspor	2:0 ✺
08.12.24	Sivasspor - Galatasaray	2:3 ✺
29.11.24	Antalyaspor - Sivasspor	2:1 ✺
24.11.24	Sivasspor - Kasımpaşa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLLLT
- Samsunspor
Turkish Super League
08.12.24	Eyüpspor - Samsunspor	3:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
03.12.24	Samsunspor - 52 Orduspor	2:4 ET ✺
Turkish Super League
30.11.24	Samsunspor - Bodrumspor	4:0 ✺
24.11.24	Samsunspor - Alanyaspor	1:1 ✺
10.11.24	Galatasaray - Samsunspor	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
14.01.24	Samsunspor - Sivasspor	2:0
13.08.23	Sivasspor - Samsunspor	1:1
Club Friendly
03.09.17	Sivasspor - Samsunspor	1:1
Turkish Super League
07.04.12	Samsunspor - Sivasspor	1:2

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