Match Info

1. Lig - Round 21

Date: 19 January 2026, Monday

Location: Bodrum İlçe Stadı (Bodrum)

Referee: Metoglu M. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Bodrumspor		Sivasspor

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.3	4.75	Watch
	1.71	3.62	4.33
	1.68	3.79	4.73	Watch
	1.7	3.4	4.6
	1.73	3.46	4.97	Watch
	1.68	3.5	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.72)	3.51 ↓ (3.72)	4.69 ↑ (4.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bodrumspor
54.3%

Draw
26.1%

Sivasspor
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54%

24.9%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7%

24.1%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bodrumspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Sivasspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bodrumspor than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sivasspor than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.7%	6.7%	6.7%

Bodrumspor - Sivasspor Predictions

Users Predictions: Bodrumspor will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bodrumspor will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Tosun B. (G) 27. Yilmaz M. 15. Ajeti Ar. 34. Aytemur A. (C) 77. Sen C. 26. Mohammed M. 21. Aslan A. 10. Brazao P. 90. Habesoglu A. 7. Dimitrov Z. 99. Seferi T.	1. Bakirbas G. (G) 7. Paluli M. 2. Appindangoye A. 3. Erdogan O. 5. Basyigit E. 58. Ciftci U. 12. Malle A. 15. Fidan K. 80. Celik C. 27. Ethemi V. 14. Boke T.
Substitutes
54. Adiyaman R. (G) 35. Apaydin F. 37. Arkutcu E. 70. Bilsel E. 8. Erdilman M. 11. Imeri O. 18. Obekpa G. 91. Ogruce E. 68. Tarim I. 25. Turk A.	92. Ala S. 53. Baynazoglu Y. (G) 20. Celik M. 16. Erdursun A. (G) 19. Gokay E. 77. Kefkir Y. 23. Kimpioka B. 95. Selvili A. 26. Yildirim M. 96. Yilmaz C.
Coaches
Eser B.	Altiparmak M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', Erdogan O. ↓, Celik M. ↑,
23', Celik M. 🟨,
40', Ciftci U. 🟨,
45', 1 - 0, Seferi T. ⚽, Yilmaz M. (A),
45+1', 1 - 1, Ciftci U. ⚽, Celik C. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
66', 1 - 2, Boke T. ⚽,
70', Mohammed M. ↓, Bilsel E. ↑,
73', Malle A. ↓, Kimpioka B. ↑,
75', Habesoglu A. ↓, Imeri O. ↑,
82', Yilmaz M. ↓, Turk A. ↑,
85', Fidan K. ↓, Yildirim M. ↑,
90+3', Ajeti Ar. 🟥,
90+4', Basyigit E. ↓, Kefkir Y. ↑,
90+8', Paluli M. 🟨,
90+10', Kimpioka B. 🟨,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 16).

Bodrumspor is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Sivasspor has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Bodrumspor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Bodrumspor is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Bodrumspor: Bayrakdar G. (Suspended) Obekpa G. (Inactive) Sertkaya Y. (Suspended) Yavuzay B. (Suspended)

There will not play in Sivasspor: Charisis C. (Yellow Cards) Yigiter O. (Red Card)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bodrumspor won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 1.2:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Bodrumspor won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Bodrumspor	8	1	5	2	7:6	1	8
15	Sivasspor	8	1	5	2	9:11	-2	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bodrumspor
Turkish Cup
15.01.26	Bodrumspor - Konyaspor	1:2 ✺
Turkish First League
11.01.26	Pendikspor - Bodrumspor	0:0 ✺
27.12.25	Sarıyer - Bodrumspor	1:0 ✺
22.12.25	Bodrumspor - Amed SK	0:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
18.12.25	Gençlerbirliği - Bodrumspor	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTLTL
- Sivasspor
Turkish First League
11.01.26	Sivasspor - Erzurumspor	0:2 ✺
27.12.25	Sivasspor - Bandırmaspor	2:0 ✺
20.12.25	Igdirspor - Sivasspor	1:1 ✺
13.12.25	Sivasspor - Çorum	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	İstanbulspor - Sivasspor	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
17.08.25	Sivasspor - Bodrumspor	1:1
Turkish Super League
11.05.25	Sivasspor - Bodrumspor	0:0
Turkish Cup
25.02.25	Sivasspor - Bodrumspor	0:1
Turkish Super League
13.12.24	Bodrumspor - Sivasspor	2:0
Turkish Cup
31.10.18	Bodrumspor - Sivasspor	2:1

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