Match Info

OBOS-ligaen - Round 26

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Nordre Åsen kunstgress (Oslo)

Referee: Hafezi M. (Nor)


	Skeid		Stabæk

	1	X	2
	5	4.5	1.57
	4.45	4.25	1.65
	5.54	4.63	1.52
	4.37	4.15	1.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.84 ↑ (3.92)	4.38 ↑ (4.05)	1.6 ↓ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Skeid
19.5%

Draw
21.5%

Stabæk
59%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.9%

23.1%

53%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.3%

22.5%

54.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Skeid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Stabæk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stabæk's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Skeid than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stabæk than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	20%	80%

Skeid - Stabæk Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Stabæk will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Bajrami A. (G) 11. Bojang S. 4. Steiring P. 23. Akinyemi A. 14. Toure O. 10. Andersen M. 33. Stensland F. 15. Hadzic A. 21. Neto L. 16. Odemarksbakken K. 45. Stensrud A.	24. Sjoeng M. (G) 2. Pedersen K. 14. Nielsen M. 4. Naess N. (C) 13. Hellan M. 28. Isaksen J. 6. Matic A. 27. Danso E. 20. Andresen A. 9. Diabate B. 7. Vinge R. E.
Substitutes
1. Andersen M. (G) 2. Ba B. 7. Fiksdal J. 3. Flo F. 22. Hoyland L. 6. Naustdal T. 17. Saad Y. 29. Sunday G. 8. Yusuf H.	18. Bawa A. 29. Ekorness K. 8. Lankhof-Dahlby M. 41. Lokkevik K. (G) 26. Nysveen J. 17. Olderheim S. 21. Onsrud K. 5. Skjelvik J. 15. Veum O.
Coaches
Rislaa V.	Stahre M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
14', 0 - 1, Naess N. ⚽,
16', Stensland F. 🟨,
33', Neto L. 🟨,
42', 0 - 2, Bojang S. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 3)
48', 0 - 3, Vinge R. E. ⚽, Diabate B. (A),
59', 0 - 4, Vinge R. E. ⚽, Isaksen J. (A),
62', Vinge R. E. ↓, Olderheim S. ↑,
62', Diabate B. ↓, Lankhof-Dahlby M. ↑,
62', Stensland F. ↓, Fiksdal J. ↑,
62', Akinyemi A. ↓, Flo F. ↑,
62', Andersen M. ↓, Naustdal T. ↑,
71', Andresen A. ↓, Nysveen J. ↑,
71', Hellan M. ↓, Skjelvik J. ↑,
72', Stensrud A. ↓, Saad Y. ↑,
73', Hadzic A. 🟨,
81', Isaksen J. ↓, Onsrud K. ↑,
82', Naess N. 🟨,
90+3', 0 - 5, Matic A. ⚽,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 14 in the zone OBOS~ligaen (Relegation)).

Skeid has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Stabæk has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Stabæk is the team to beat.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Skeid won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 1.2:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Skeid won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 2:3.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Skeid Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
04.10.25	Kongsvinger - Skeid	3:0 ✺
27.09.25	Skeid - Åsane	1:2 ✺
20.09.25	Aalesunds - Skeid	3:0 ✺
14.09.25	Skeid - Moss	1:1 ✺
30.08.25	Lillestrøm SK - Skeid	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLTL
- Stabæk Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
05.10.25	Stabæk - Odd	2:2 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
24.09.25	Bjarg - Stabæk	6:1 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
21.09.25	Stabæk - Raufoss	3:0 ✺
13.09.25	Egersund - Stabæk	1:1 ✺
30.08.25	Stabæk - Start	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
04.05.25	Stabæk - Skeid	1:0
31.07.22	Stabæk - Skeid	2:0
04.04.22	Skeid - Stabæk	2:3
Club Friendly
02.06.21	Skeid - Stabæk	2:4
19.03.18	Stabæk - Skeid	1:2

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