Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 7 August 2024, Wednesday

Location: Fortuna Arena (Prague)

Referee: Stieler T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	RTL Club, VTM 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1, Voyo
Portugal	Canal 11
Slovakia	Voyo


	Slavia Prague		Saint-Gilloise

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.5	3.7	Watch
	1.95	3.5	3.75
	1.95	3.6	3.75	Watch
	2	3.54	3.87
	1.99	3.62	3.69
	1.83	3.6	3.6
	2.07	3.6	3.69	Watch
	1.95	3.6	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.05)	3.57 ↑ (3.3)	3.73 ↑ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Slavia Prague
48.2%

Draw
26.5%

Saint-Gilloise
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

28.3%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

27.1%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Slavia Prague has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Saint-Gilloise has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Slavia Prague than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint-Gilloise than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
74.1%	15.5%	10.3%

Slavia Prague - Saint Gilloise Predictions

Users Predictions: 55 users predict this event. Slavia Prague will win (votes: 41 - 74.5%). Union SG will win (votes: 6 - 10.9%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 14.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Slavia Prague: 63% – 86%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Kinsky A. (G) 28. Prebsl F. 5. Ogbu I. 4. Zima D. 8. Masopust L. (C) 10. Zafeiris C. 19. Dorley O. 12. Diouf M. 26. Schranz I. 17. Provod L. 25. Chory T.	49. Moris A. (C) 21. Castro-Montes A. 5. Mac Allister K. 28. Machida K. 48. Leysen F. 24. Vanhoutte C. 27. Sadiki N. 23. Puertas C. 11. Teklab H. 13. Rodriguez K. 9. Eckert Ayensa D.
Substitutes
18. Boril J. 20. Buzek A. 13. Chytil M. 21. Doudera D. 11. Fila D. 35. Jurasek M. 15. Jurecka V. 46. Konecny M. 24. Mandous A. (G) 48. Pech Dom. 29. Tomic M. 22. Vorlicky L.	10. Ait El Hadj A. 1. Chambaere V. (G) 12. David P. 19. Francois G. 77. Fuseini M. 7. Kabangu E. 25. Khalaili A. 4. Rasmussen M. 17. Terho C. 74. Tshilanda Kabongo D.
Coaches
Trpisovsky J.	Pocognoli S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Chory T. ⚽, Provod L. (A),
41', 2 - 0, Chory T. ⚽, Zafeiris C. (A),
43', Vanhoutte C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', Puertas C. 🟨,
57', 3 - 0, Dorley O. ⚽,
64', Sadiki N. ↓, Rasmussen M. ↑,
64', Eckert Ayensa D. ↓, Fuseini M. ↑,
64', Rodriguez K. ↓, Kabangu E. ↑,
65', Zafeiris C. ↓, Buzek A. ↑,
66', Masopust L. ↓, Doudera D. ↑,
68', Provod L. 🟨,
73', 3 - 1, Buzek A. (Own goal), Castro-Montes A. (A),
77', Chory T. ↓, Chytil M. ↑,
77', Provod L. ↓, Vorlicky L. ↑,
79', Puertas C. ↓, Ait El Hadj A. ↑,
83', Diouf M. ↓, Boril J. ↑,
85', Dorley O. 🟨,
85', Fuseini M. 🟥,
86', Moris A. 🟨,
89', Teklab H. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

Slavia Prague in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Union SG is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Slavia Prague will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Slavia Prague: Chaloupek S. (Injury) Holes T. (Red Card) Ogungbayi B. (Knee Injury) Sevcik P. (Health problems) Stanek J. (Shoulder Injury) Vlcek T. (Knee Injury) Zmrzly O. (Injury)

There will not play in Union SG: Burgess C. (Foot Injury)

There are questionable in Slavia Prague: Buzek A. (Health problems)

There are questionable in Union SG: Sykes R. (Foot Injury) Van De Perre K. (Arm Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SK Slavia Prague
Czech 1 Liga
02.08.24	Slovan Liberec - Slavia Prague	0:1 ✺
27.07.24	Slavia Prague - Dynamo České Budějovice	4:0 ✺
21.07.24	Slovácko - Slavia Prague	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
13.07.24	Slavia Prague - Žilina	5:1 ✺
09.07.24	Slavia Prague - Podbrezová	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWTWW
- Royale Union Saint-Gilloise
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
02.08.24	Saint-Gilloise - Beerschot Wilrijk	3:1 ✺
27.07.24	Dender EH - Saint-Gilloise	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
21.07.24	Saint-Gilloise - Lierse	4:3 ✺
Belgian Super Cup
20.07.24	Club Brugge - Saint-Gilloise	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
17.07.24	Sporting Lisbon - Saint-Gilloise	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WTWWT

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