Match Info

Date: 21 January 2021, Thursday


	Slavia Sofia		Krylya Sovetov

	1	X	2
	4.65	4.15	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.65 ↑ (4.45)	4.15 ↑ (4.1)	1.66 ↓ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Slavia Sofia
20.3%

Draw
22.8%

Krylya Sovetov
56.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.3%

23.1%

55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.1%

19.6%

65.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Slavia Sofia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Krylya Sovetov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Slavia Sofia than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krylya Sovetov than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Krylya Sovetov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Slavia Sofia - Krylya Sovetov Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

Slavia Sofia is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Krylya Sovetov is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Slavia Sofia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Krylya Sovetov is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Slavia Sofia
Bulgarian Parva Liga
14.12.20	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Slavia Sofia	2:0 ✺
10.12.20	Botev Vratsa - Slavia Sofia	1:2 ✺
06.12.20	Slavia Sofia - Ludogorets Razgrad	0:2 ✺
02.12.20	Slavia Sofia - Botev Plovdiv	0:0 ✺
27.11.20	Cherno More Varna - Slavia Sofia	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWLTL
- Krylya Sovetov Samara
Club Friendly
19.01.21	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Krylya Sovetov	3:4 ✺
18.01.21	Krylya Sovetov - Spartak Subotica	4:1 ✺
Russian FNL
05.12.20	Krylya Sovetov - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	4:0 ✺
29.11.20	Orenburg - Krylya Sovetov	2:1 ✺
25.11.20	Krylya Sovetov - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWWLW

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