Match Info

Premier League - Round 29

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Gazovik Stadium (Orenburg)

Referee: Demeshko I. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	Q Football Asia
Belarus	Belarus 5
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3
Russia	Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 3


	Orenburg		Krylya Sovetov

	1	X	2
	2.04	3.45	4.01
	2.07	3.51	4.06	Watch
	1.96	3.38	3.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.96)	3.45 ↑ (3.38)	3.86 ↑ (3.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orenburg
47.4%

Draw
27.8%

Krylya Sovetov
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

27.1%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

26%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orenburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Krylya Sovetov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orenburg than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krylya Sovetov than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Orenburg - Krylya Sovetov Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Orenburg will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Krylya Sovetov will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ovsyannikov B. (G) 18. Moufi F. (C) 6. Palacios J. 4. Khotulev D. 3. Vedernikov D. 37. Du Queiroz 57. Bolotov E. 16. Thompson J. 8. Puebla D. 7. Gurluk E. 19. Alexandre Jesus	30. Pesjakov S. (C) 22. Fernando Costanza 23. Chernov N. 47. Bozhin S. 2. Pechenin K. 6. Babkin S. 8. Vityugov M. 15. Rasskazov N. 14. Banjac M. 19. Oleynikov I. 11. Rahmanovic A.
Substitutes
59. Avanesyan T. 32. Cantero A. 29. El Mahraoui A. 27. Golybin R. 30. Guzina G. 78. Kul R. 33. Kvekveskiri I. 2. Poroykov S. 88. Rudakov M. (G) 20. Rybchinskiy D. 9. Savelyev M. 26. Tsenov E.	72. Fernandez D. 39. Frolov E. (G) 3. Galdames T. 91. Ignatenko V. 10. Khubulov V. 80. Kokarev N. (G) 18. Lepskii I. 26. Marin J. 5. Oroz D. 70. Shumansky A. 20. Stolbov K. 9. Sutormin A.
Coaches
Akhmetzyanov I.	Bulatov S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', Akhmetzyanov I. 🟨,
23', 1 - 0, Bolotov E. ⚽, Du Queiroz (A),
32', Moufi F. 🟨,
45+3', Banjac M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Vityugov M. 🟨,
61', Alexandre Jesus ↓, Guzina G. ↑,
61', Gurluk E. ↓, Rybchinskiy D. ↑,
62', Puebla D. ↓, Golybin R. ↑,
67', Chernov N. 🟨,
68', Banjac M. ↓, Shumansky A. ↑,
68', Vityugov M. ↓, Marin J. ↑,
71', Fernando Costanza 🟨,
75', Palacios J. ↓, Tsenov E. ↑,
82', Fernando Costanza ↓, Stolbov K. ↑,
82', Oleynikov I. ↓, Ignatenko V. ↑,
84', Vedernikov D. 🟨,
89', Babkin S. ↓, Khubulov V. ↑,
90+3', Thompson J. ↓, Savelyev M. ↑,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 13 in the zone Premier League (Relegation) and 11)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orenburg won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Krylya Sovetov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Krylya Sovetov has had a series of home games.

Orenburg could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Orenburg won 7 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:22. (average 1.2:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Orenburg won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.9:1.5).

Outrights of Russian Premier League for now

Orenburg: 0.84%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Orenburg	10	2	6	2	11:10	1	12
9	Krylya Sovetov	10	2	6	2	14:15	-1	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Orenburg
Russian Premier League
03.05.26	Sochi - Orenburg	3:1 ✺
25.04.26	Rostov - Orenburg	0:1 ✺
22.04.26	Orenburg - Nizhny Novgorod	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Orenburg - Lokomotiv Moscow	0:1 ✺
11.04.26	Rubin Kazan - Orenburg	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LWWLT
- Krylya Sovetov Samara
Russian Premier League
01.05.26	Krylya Sovetov - Spartak Moscow	2:1 ✺
25.04.26	Krylya Sovetov - Lokomotiv Moscow	2:0 ✺
21.04.26	Sochi - Krylya Sovetov	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Krylya Sovetov - CSKA Moscow	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Krylya Sovetov - Akhmat Grozny	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.7 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Russian Cup
04.03.26	Krylya Sovetov - Orenburg	2:0
Russian Premier League
18.10.25	Krylya Sovetov - Orenburg	1:1
27.04.25	Krylya Sovetov - Orenburg	2:0
20.10.24	Orenburg - Krylya Sovetov	2:2
04.05.24	Orenburg - Krylya Sovetov	2:1
28.10.23	Krylya Sovetov - Orenburg	1:1
02.04.23	Krylya Sovetov - Orenburg	1:1

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