Match Info
FAI Cup - 1/16-finalsDate: 17 July 2026, FridayLocation: Mounthawk Park (Tralee)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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World | LOI TV |
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Kerry |
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Shelbourne |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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Watch |
 |
5.00 |
4.10 |
1.49 |
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 |
5.7 |
4.35 |
1.41 |
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 |
6.62 |
5 |
1.41 |
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 |
5.37 |
2.66 |
1.95 |
Watch |
 |
6.55 |
4.95 |
1.36 |
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 |
6.16 |
4.7 |
1.38 |
Watch |
 |
5.8 |
4.4 |
1.42 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
5.89 ↓ (8.25) |
4.31 ↓ (4.4) |
1.49 ↑ (1.34) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
- The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Kerry 15.8% | Draw 21.6% | Shelbourne 62.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kerry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)Shelbourne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shelbourne might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kerry than the current prediction. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shelbourne than the current prediction. (-4.4%) bannerPredictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Kerry will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Shelbourne will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Shelbourne (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 61', 0 - 1, Kelly D. ⚽,
- 62', Casey O. 🟨,
- 78', 1 - 1, O'Connell S. ⚽,
- 79', 2 - 1, Murphy C. ⚽,
- 90+4', 2 - 2, Henry-Francis J. ⚽,
- Extra Time (0 - 0)
- Penalties (6 - 5)
- 1, Murphy C. (Penalty Awarded),
- 1, Barrett P. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Britton M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Bone S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, McGrath S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Moore S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, O'Connell S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Roche J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 5, Healy C. (Penalty Awarded),
- 5, Caffrey E. (Penalty Awarded),
- 6, Palmer L. (Penalty Awarded),
- 6, Kelly D. (Penalty Awarded),
- 7, Brookwell N. (Penalty Awarded),
- 7, Ring D. (Penalty Awarded),
- 8, Borden V. (Penalty Awarded),
- 8, Gannon S. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
Kerry is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).In recent matches, Shelbourne has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Shelbourne may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Shelbourne is considered a favorite. In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;