Match Info

Division 1 - Round 27

Date: 7 August 2026, Friday

Location: Turner's Cross (Cork)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	LOI TV


	Cork City		Kerry

	1	X	2
	1.41	4.33	5.75
	1.41	4.45	6.3
	1.41	4.72	8.45
	1.43	4.05	7.07	Watch
	1.38	4.4	8.35
	1.41	3.98	7.19
	1.39	4.3	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.42)	4.32 ↑ (4.15)	7.02 ↑ (6.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cork City
65.5%

Draw
21.3%

Kerry
13.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.9%

21.9%

14.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

21%

14.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cork City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Kerry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cork City than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kerry than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Cork City - Kerry Predictions

Users Predictions: Cork City will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Brann C. (G) 15. Drinan C. 4. Kelleher F. (C) 5. Lyons C. 28. Feely R. 17. Crowley D. 6. Bolger G. 20. Fitzpatrick J. 39. Murphy C. 10. Mpongo H. 9. Keating R.	1. Connor M. (G) 18. Aladesanusi S. 29. Lee E. 14. Hakkinen J. 3. O'Connell S. 41. Bargary C. 28. Brookwell N. 24. Borden V. 10. Murphy C. 7. McGrath S. (C) 11. Okwute D.
Substitutes
8. Aidoo J. 47. Daly C. 37. Downey L. 24. Maguire S. 31. Manjor-Georgewill I. 25. Murray M. 2. Nevin H. 13. Odumosu D. (G) 14. O'Keeffe N.	26. Britton M. 17. Brosnan C. 44. Halwax H. (G) 34. Keane R. 8. Luchinger S. 37. McCormack C. 21. Palmer L. 23. Perez R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', Murphy C. 🟨,
24', Okwute D. 🟨,
33', 0 - 1, Bargary C. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Fitzpatrick J. ↓, Nevin H. ↑,
56', Lyons C. ↓, Maguire S. ↑,
59', Keating R. 🟨,
60', Murphy C. 🟨,
63', Bolger G. ↓, O'Keeffe N. ↑,
66', Okwute D. ↓, Brosnan C. ↑,
71', McGrath S. ↓, Luchinger S. ↑,
77', 1 - 1, Drinan C. ⚽,
81', Luchinger S. 🟨,
82', Bargary C. ↓, Palmer L. ↑,
87', Kelleher F. 🟨,
90+1', 2 - 1, Maguire S. ⚽,
90+1', 🟨,
90+2', 3 - 1, Crowley D. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cork City won 4.

Cork City has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Kerry is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Cork City is the clear favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Cork City won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:6. (average 2.4:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Cork City won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:3. (average 3:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Cork City ✔	34	22	5	7	71:34	37	71
6	Kerry	34	13	9	12	42:40	2	48

Last Results with these Odds

Cork City - the odds 1.42 are the expected chance of winning is 63.94%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cork City
Irish Division 1
03.08.26	Cork City - Athlone Town	3:2 ✺
31.07.26	Finn Harps - Cork City	0:3 ✺
24.07.26	University College Dublin - Cork City	5:2 ✺
Irish FAI Cup
17.07.26	Shamrock Rovers - Cork City	4:1 AET ✺
Club Friendly
14.07.26	Cork City - Cardiff City	1:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WWLLL
- Kerry FC Ireland
Irish Division 1
03.08.26	Kerry - Cobh Ramblers	3:0 ✺
31.07.26	Bray Wanderers - Kerry	0:4 ✺
24.07.26	Kerry - Finn Harps	2:1 ✺
Irish FAI Cup
17.07.26	Kerry - Shelbourne	3:2 penalties ✺
Irish Division 1
10.07.26	Wexford - Kerry	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 34.6 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Irish Division 1
04.05.26	Kerry - Cork City	1:0
06.04.26	Cork City - Kerry	4:2
Club Friendly
04.02.26	Cork City - Kerry	4:1
05.02.25	Kerry - Cork City	1:2
Irish Division 1
13.09.24	Kerry - Cork City	1:4
26.07.24	Cork City - Kerry	2:0
03.05.24	Kerry - Cork City	0:1

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