Match Info

National League South - Round 42

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Arbour Park (Slough)


	Slough Town		Aveley

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.9	4.6
	1.55	4.3	5
	1.56	4.49	4.92
	1.53	4.35	5.02
	1.55	4.3	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.61)	4.27 ↑ (3.95)	4.91 ↑ (4.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Slough Town
59.6%

Draw
21.6%

Aveley
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.5%

23.4%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

18.4%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Slough Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Aveley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Slough Town than the current prediction. (-14.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Slough Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aveley than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aveley could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Slough Town - Aveley Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Hollis G. ⚽,
39', 2 - 0, Davies S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', 3 - 0, Jackman J. ⚽,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 18 and 24 in the zone Relegation).

Aveley is Relegated to

Recent matches Slough is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Aveley has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Slough is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Slough won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:0 (average 2.3:0).

Including matches at home between the teams Slough won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Slough Town
English National League South
29.03.25	Weymouth - Slough Town	4:0 ✺
22.03.25	Slough Town - Enfield Town	1:1 ✺
15.03.25	Hornchurch - Slough Town	2:3 ✺
11.03.25	Bath City - Slough Town	2:0 ✺
08.03.25	Slough Town - Farnborough	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LTWLT
- Aveley
English National League South
29.03.25	Aveley - Torquay United	0:1 ✺
22.03.25	Hemel Hempstead Town - Aveley	1:1 ✺
15.03.25	Aveley - Eastbourne Borough	0:2 ✺
10.03.25	Aveley - Worthing	1:2 ✺
08.03.25	Boreham Wood - Aveley	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
26.08.24	Aveley - Slough Town	0:3
23.12.23	Aveley - Slough Town	0:2
09.09.23	Slough Town - Aveley	2:0

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