Match Info

National League South - Round 13

Date: 21 October 2025, Tuesday

Location: Twerton Park (Bath)


	Bath City		Totton

	1	X	2
	2.82	3.05	2.45
	2.95	3.1	2.59
	2.32	3.41	2.84	Watch
	2.8	3.1	2.45
	2.3	3.3	2.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↑ (2.32)	3.19 ↓ (3.41)	2.64 ↓ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bath City
35.4%

Draw
29.2%

Totton
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

27.2%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

27.7%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bath City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Totton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bath City than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bath City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Totton than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

Bath City - Totton Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Totton will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Totton (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Ash B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', 2 - 0, Parselle K. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Bath has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Totton is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Bath may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Bath has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Bath City - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 40.04%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bath City
English National League South
18.10.25	Hornchurch - Bath City	3:2 ✺
04.10.25	Farnborough - Bath City	2:2 ✺
20.09.25	Bath City - Chelmsford City	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
13.09.25	Wimborne Town - Bath City	2:1 ✺
English National League South
06.09.25	Chesham United - Bath City	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LTLLT
- AFC Totton
English National League South
18.10.25	Totton - Hemel Hempstead Town	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
14.10.25	Truro City - Totton	1:2 penalties ✺
11.10.25	Totton - Truro City	1:1 ✺
English National League South
04.10.25	Totton - Weston-super-Mare	3:1 ✺
20.09.25	Horsham - Totton	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.4 WWTWW

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