Match Info

ENGLAND: FA Trophy - 1/64-finals

Date: 16 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Arbour Park (Slough)


	Slough Town		Chatham Town

	1	X	2
	1.41	4.4	5.5
	1.44	4.7	5.8
	1.43	4.91	5.39
	1.45	4.89	5.93	Watch
	1.4	4.5	5.8
	1.42	4.7	6.03
	1.44	4.7	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.52)	4.69 ↑ (4.37)	5.75 ↑ (5.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Slough Town
64.4%

Draw
19.6%

Chatham Town
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.8%

21.2%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

20.6%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Slough Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Chatham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Slough Town than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Slough Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chatham Town than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Slough Town - Chatham Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Mongoy J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Yila J. 🟥,
78', Beeden L. 🟨,
90+2', 1 - 1, Gilbert J. ⚽,
Penalties (4 - 2)
1, (Pen),
1, (Pen),
2, (Pen),
2, (Pen),
3, (Pen),
3, (Pen),
4, (Pen),
4, (Pen),

Preview

Recent matches Slough is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Chatham is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Slough is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Slough won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Slough Town
English National League South
12.11.24	Slough Town - Dorking Wanderers	3:2 ✺
09.11.24	Farnborough - Slough Town	1:0 ✺
05.11.24	Slough Town - Bath City	3:0 ✺
02.11.24	Slough Town - Truro City	1:1 ✺
26.10.24	Worthing - Slough Town	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLWTL
- Chatham Town
English Isthmian League Premier Division
12.11.24	Chatham Town - Horsham	2:0 ✺
09.11.24	Chatham Town - Dover Athletic	1:1 ✺
05.11.24	Billericay Town - Chatham Town	1:1 ✺
02.11.24	Chatham Town - Lewes	1:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
26.10.24	Bowers & Pitsea - Chatham Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
28.09.24	Chatham Town - Slough Town	0:3

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