Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 4

Date: 9 November 2023, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	07:00	Stan Sport
Finland	22:00	Viaplay
Norway	21:00	Viaplay
Poland	21:00	Viaplay
Portugal	20:00	Sport TV6
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay
United Kingdom	20:00	TNT Sports


	Slovan Bratislava		Lille

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.8	1.91
	3.6	3.5	1.87
	3.75	3.75	1.9	Watch
	3.91	3.84	1.96
	3.91	3.84	1.93
	3.84	3.64	1.9
	3.95	3.85	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.82 ↓ (4.52)	3.75 ↓ (3.98)	1.91 ↑ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Slovan Bratislava
24.9%

Draw
25.4%

Lille
49.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

20.6%

23.4%

56.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.5%

24.7%

59.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Slovan Bratislava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Lille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lille might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Slovan Bratislava than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Slovan Bratislava that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lille than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lille could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.1%	7.7%	69.2%

Slovan Bratislava - Lille Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Slovan Bratislava will win (votes: 6 - 23.1%). Lille will win (votes: 18 - 69.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lille: 51.5% – 86.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
82. Borjan M. (G) 12. Bajric K. 4. Kashia G. 6. Wimmer K. 28. Blackman C. 88. Savvidis K. 33. Kucka J. (C) 8. Zmrhal J. 11. Barseghyan T. 13. Strelec D. 18. Marcelli N.	30. Chevalier L. (G) 22. Santos T. 15. Yoro L. 14. Umtiti S. 5. Gudmundsson G. 21. Andre B. (C) 6. Bentaleb N. 23. Zhegrova E. 8. Gomes A. 10. Cabella R. 12. Yazici Y.
Substitutes
15. Abubakari M. 3. Agbo U. 77. Cavric A. 35. Hrdina A. (G) 20. Kankava J. 5. Krizan R. 25. Pauschek L. 24. Tolic M. 31. Trnovsky M. (G) 27. Vojtko M. 7. Weiss V. jr. 23. Zuberu S.	4. Alexsandro 32. Bouaddi A. 17. Cavaleiro I. 9. David J. 7. Haraldsson H. 31. Ismaily 1. Mannone V. (G) 20. Miramon I. 40. Negrel T. (G) 11. Ounas A. 26. Virginius A. 13. Zedadka A.
Coaches
Weiss V. sr.	Fonseca P.

Preview

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Lille could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Lille will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Slovan Bratislava: Lovat L. (Red Card)

There will not play in Lille: Diakite B. (Broken Leg) Djalo T. (Knee Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Slovan Bratislava won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Slovan Bratislava
Slovak Superliga
04.11.23	Dukla Banská Bystrica - Slovan Bratislava	1:4 ✺
01.11.23	Slovan Bratislava - Zemplín Michalovce	5:1 ✺
29.10.23	Slovan Bratislava - MFK Košice	4:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
26.10.23	Lille - Slovan Bratislava	2:1 ✺
Slovak Superliga
22.10.23	Spartak Trnava - Slovan Bratislava	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWLW
- OSC Lille
French Ligue 1
04.11.23	Olympique Marseille - Lille	0:0 ✺
29.10.23	Lille - Monaco	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
26.10.23	Lille - Slovan Bratislava	2:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
22.10.23	Lille - Brest	1:0 ✺
08.10.23	Lens - Lille	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
26.10.23	Lille - Slovan Bratislava	2:1

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