Match Info

2. SNL - Round 10

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Slovenia	16:00	NZS


	Slovan Ljubljana		Bistrica

	1	X	2
	3.40	3.40	1.85
	2.95	3.35	2.02	Watch
	3.74	3.48	1.79
	3.65	3.80	1.88	Watch
	3.70	3.40	1.77
	3.44	3.65	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.48 ↑ (2.84)	3.51 ↑ (3.5)	1.88 ↓ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Slovan Ljubljana
26%

Draw
25.8%

Bistrica
48.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.4%

26.3%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

25.7%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Slovan Ljubljana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Slovan Ljubljana's form might have worsened.

Bistrica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bistrica's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Slovan Ljubljana than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Slovan Ljubljana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bistrica than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bistrica, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Slovan Ljubljana - Bistrica Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
88', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 6th and 11th).

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Bistrica may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Bistrica holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Slovan has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:5 (averaging 0.8:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Slovan against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 2:2 goals (averaging 1:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	NK Bistrica	11	5	2	4	14:15	-1	17
9	Slovan Ljubljana	12	5	2	5	14:20	-6	17

Last Results with these Odds

Slovan Ljubljana - the odds 2.84 are the expected chance of winning is 32.36%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ND Slovan Ljubljana
Slovenian 2 SNL
03.10.26	Dravinja - Slovan Ljubljana	1:4 ✺
27.09.26	Slovan Ljubljana - Brežice	1:0 ✺
20.09.26	Triglav - Slovan Ljubljana	3:0 ✺
12.09.26	Slovan Ljubljana - Vrhnika	0:0 ✺
05.09.26	Bilje - Slovan Ljubljana	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWLTL
- NK Bistrica
Slovenian 2 SNL
04.10.26	Bistrica - Rudar Velenje	3:1 ✺
26.09.26	Tabor Sežana - Bistrica	1:0 ✺
20.09.26	Dravinja - Bistrica	3:1 ✺
12.09.26	Bistrica - Brežice	2:1 ✺
04.09.26	Triglav - Bistrica	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian 2 SNL
23.05.26	Bistrica - Slovan Ljubljana	1:0
15.11.25	Slovan Ljubljana - Bistrica	2:0
11.04.25	Bistrica - Slovan Ljubljana	2:1
27.09.24	Slovan Ljubljana - Bistrica	0:2

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