Match Info

2. SNL - Round 16

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovenia	NZS


	Slovan Ljubljana		Nafta

	1	X	2
	5.3	3.7	1.55	Watch
	6.31	3.8	1.47
	5.2	3.8	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.6 ↑ (3.64)	3.77 ↑ (3.6)	1.53 ↓ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Slovan Ljubljana
16.2%

Draw
24.2%

Nafta
59.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.3%

25.5%

49.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.8%

25%

50.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Slovan Ljubljana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Slovan Ljubljana's form might have worsened.

Nafta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nafta's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Slovan Ljubljana than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Slovan Ljubljana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nafta than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nafta, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Slovan Ljubljana - Nafta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
34', 0 - 1, ⚽,
40', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
53', 0 - 3, ⚽,
62', 1 - 3, ⚽,
69', 1 - 4, ⚽,
71', 2 - 4, ⚽,
89', 🟥,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Prva liga (Promotion: )).

Slovan is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Nafta is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Nafta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Nafta is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Slovan won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ND Slovan Ljubljana
Slovenian 2 SNL
15.11.25	Slovan Ljubljana - Bistrica	2:0 ✺
08.11.25	Tabor Sežana - Slovan Ljubljana	1:0 ✺
30.10.25	Slovan Ljubljana - Jadran Dekani	1:0 ✺
25.10.25	Jesenice - Slovan Ljubljana	2:3 ✺
18.10.25	Slovan Ljubljana - Krško	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLWWT
- NK Nafta 1903
Slovenian 2 SNL
14.11.25	Triglav - Nafta	0:2 ✺
09.11.25	Nafta - Brinje-Grosuplje	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Beltinci - Nafta	2:3 ✺
26.10.25	Nafta - Bilje	4:1 ✺
Slovenian Cup
22.10.25	Škofja Loka - Nafta	1:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian 2 SNL
08.08.25	Nafta - Slovan Ljubljana	2:0

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