Match Info

Vysshaya Liga - Relegation - Final

Date: 3 December 2025, Wednesday

Location: Yunost Stadium (Smorgon)


	Smorgon		Belshina

	1	X	2
	1.51	3.9	5.28
				Watch
	1.44	4	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↑ (1.48)	3.95 (3.95)	5.64 (5.64)

The best margin for this event is 10.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Smorgon
61.2%

Draw
22.8%

Belshina
16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.8%

24.2%

15.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Smorgon have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Belshina have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Smorgon than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belshina than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
19. Azarko M. (G) 2. Bamba M. 13. Dayneko A. 6. Doumbia S. 17. Dukso M. 5. Firsov A. 3. Intsoen C. 8. Maslovskiy V. 27. Tishko A. 20. Tonkevich V. 78. Yablonskiy M.	54. Patsenko N. (G) 7. Achapovskiy A. 8. Balbukh V. 88. Dubovskiy P. 10. Kozlov Y. 3. Kuchinskiy A. 5. Seleznev P. 44. Shestilovskiy S. 19. Sokolovskiy N. 4. Solanovich V. 17. Vikhrov I.
Substitutes
25. Bamba L. 77. Bogdanovich I. 9. Chebotar V. 4. Diallo M. 55. Dubovik T. 33. Fazylov A. 63. Kukhlejj R. 7. Levkovets A. 11. Mychelkin E. 21. Yezhov R.	16. Bolotnikov K. 66. Bolotnikov V. 11. Chernodarov A. 14. Drapeza V. 35. Frolov I. (G) 22. Kabachevskiy V. 78. Kovalevich V. 99. Kulikov D. 18. Tkachenko V. 77. Zimin A.
Coaches
Dorokhovich S.	Lisovskiy A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Dayneko A. ⚽,
19', Firsov A. 🟨,
30', Vikhrov I. 🟨,
43', Shestilovskiy S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
64', Tishko A. 🟨,
74', Dayneko A. 🟨,
77', Dayneko A. ↓, Dubovik T. ↑,
77', Yablonskiy M. ↓, Bamba L. ↑,
88', Maslovskiy V. ↓, Chebotar V. ↑,
90', Tishko A. ↓, Bogdanovich I. ↑,
90+2', Dubovik T. 🟨,
90+2', Firsov A. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Smorgon won 1.

Smorgon has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Belshina has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Belshina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Smorgon is a strong favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Smorgon won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:13. (average 0.5:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Smorgon won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.6:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Smorgon
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
29.11.25	Gomel - Smorgon	3:1 ✺
23.11.25	Smorgon - Molodechno	1:0 ✺
Belarusian Cup
18.11.25	Smorgon - Torpedo-BelAZ	0:4 ✺
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
09.11.25	Isloch Minsk - Smorgon	0:0 ✺
01.11.25	Smorgon - Vitebsk	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWLTL
- Belshina Bobruisk
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
15.11.25	Belshina - Osipovichi	1:3 ✺
09.11.25	Niva Dolbizno - Belshina	1:2 ✺
01.11.25	Belshina - BATE 2	0:0 ✺
25.10.25	Dnyapro Mogilev - Belshina	3:1 ✺
18.10.25	Belshina - BumProm Gomel	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Cup
26.07.24	Smorgon - Belshina	1:2
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
05.08.23	Belshina - Smorgon	2:0
19.03.23	Smorgon - Belshina	1:0
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
24.08.19	Smorgon - Belshina	0:0
20.04.19	Belshina - Smorgon	4:1
03.11.18	Belshina - Smorgon	2:0
07.07.18	Smorgon - Belshina	0:3

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