Match Info

Vysshaya Liga - Round 30

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Centralnyj Stadion (Gomel)

Referee: Gorayutin S. (Blr)


	Gomel		Smorgon

	1	X	2
	2.17	3	3.97
	2.22	2.95	3.59	Watch
	2.22	2.66	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (1.92)	2.87 ↓ (3.25)	3.69 ↓ (4.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gomel
42.3%

Draw
32.5%

Smorgon
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

28.6%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

28.5%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gomel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gomel's form might have worsened.

Smorgon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gomel than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gomel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Smorgon than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Gomel - Smorgon Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Smorgon (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nechaev A. (G) 33. Chagovets Y. (C) 2. Martinkevich V. 90. Kukushkin G. 14. Adeola R. 15. Shemruk A. 23. Potapenko A. 19. Silinsky D. 8. Barsukov E. 10. Laptev D. 11. Simanenka T.	19. Azarko M. (G) 27. Tishko A. 77. Bogdanovich I. 3. Intsoen C. 5. Firsov A. 2. Bamba M. 78. Yablonskiy M. 6. Doumbia S. 8. Maslovskiy V. 55. Dubovik T. 17. Dukso M.
Substitutes
68. Aleksandrov M. 21. Antilevskiy A. 44. Kleshchuk S. (G) 56. Loskutov S. 3. Matveychik S. 7. Mayorau M. 77. Mayorov N.	25. Bamba L. 9. Chebotar V. 13. Dayneko A. 4. Diallo M. 33. Fazylov A. 63. Kukhlejj R. 7. Levkovets A. 11. Mychelkin E. 21. Yezhov R.
Coaches
Gorovtsov A.	Dorokhovich S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', Silinsky D. 🟨,
12', 1 - 0, Laptev D. ⚽, Adeola R. (A),
21', Bogdanovich I. 🟨,
28', 1 - 1, Doumbia S. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', 2 - 1, Chagovets Y. ⚽,
61', Dubovik T. ↓, Chebotar V. ↑,
61', Yablonskiy M. ↓, Diallo M. ↑,
69', 3 - 1, Laptev D. ⚽, Simanenka T. (A),
69', Barsukov E. ↓, Antilevskiy A. ↑,
72', Maslovskiy V. ↓, Dayneko A. ↑,
80', Dukso M. ↓, Kukhlejj R. ↑,
82', Laptev D. ↓, Savitskiy A. ↑,
87', Adeola R. ↓, Matveychik S. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gomel won 3.

Gomel is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Smorgon has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Gomel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Gomel will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Gomel won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:9. (average 1.9:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Gomel won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.3:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Gomel
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
23.11.25	ML Vitebsk - Gomel	5:0 ✺
07.11.25	Gomel - Dinamo Brest	3:0 ✺
02.11.25	Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk - Gomel	0:0 ✺
29.10.25	Torpedo-BelAZ - Gomel	0:1 ✺
25.10.25	Gomel - Slutsk	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.9 LWTWW
- FC Smorgon
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
23.11.25	Smorgon - Molodechno	1:0 ✺
Belarusian Cup
18.11.25	Smorgon - Torpedo-BelAZ	0:4 ✺
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
09.11.25	Isloch Minsk - Smorgon	0:0 ✺
01.11.25	Smorgon - Vitebsk	0:2 ✺
24.10.25	Minsk - Smorgon	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
05.07.25	Smorgon - Gomel	3:1
30.08.24	Gomel - Smorgon	2:1
19.04.24	Smorgon - Gomel	2:2
22.10.23	Smorgon - Gomel	0:3
26.05.23	Gomel - Smorgon	2:0
20.11.21	Gomel - Smorgon	0:0
26.06.21	Smorgon - Gomel	1:2

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