Match Info

Vysshaya Liga - Round 27

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Yunost Stadium (Smorgon)

Referee: Shumilov I. (Blr)


	Smorgon		Vitebsk

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.04	2.73	Watch
	3	2.9	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↑ (2.8)	2.97 ↓ (3)	2.52 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Smorgon
32.5%

Draw
30.9%

Vitebsk
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

31.6%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

33.2%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Smorgon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Vitebsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Smorgon than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitebsk than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Smorgon - Vitebsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Vasilyuchek V. (G) 3. Intsoen C. 7. Levkovets A. 8. Maslovskiy V. 5. Firsov A. 17. Dukso M. (C) 6. Doumbia S. 20. Tonkevich V. 2. Bamba M. 91. Budko M. 77. Bogdanovich I.	1. Gushchenko D. (G) 3. Zhumaev V. 22. Egorov S. 23. Naumov N. (C) 18. Skibskiy Y. 26. Tikhonovskiy S. 20. Krasnov E. 30. Bashilov M. 55. Girs D. 80. Ksenofontov A. 37. Radikovskiy D.
Substitutes
19. Azarko M. (G) 25. Bamba L. 9. Chebotar V. 13. Dayneko A. 4. Diallo M. 55. Dubovik T. 63. Kukhlejj R. 21. Yezhov R.	14. Chervyakov Z. 4. Gorbachik V. 53. Kuntsevich M. 7. Lisovskiy R. 24. Magloire E. 60. Novichkov I. (G) 27. Novykh E. 88. Pesnyak D. 9. Teverov R.
Coaches
Dorokhovich S.	Matveenko A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', Bogdanovich I. 🟨,
43', 0 - 1, Radikovskiy D. ⚽, Krasnov E. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', Bamba M. 🟨,
57', Radikovskiy D. ↓, Gorbachik V. ↑,
57', Ksenofontov A. ↓, Chervyakov Z. ↑,
58', Bamba M. 🟨,
61', 0 - 2, Bashilov M. ⚽,
61', Budko M. ↓, Diallo M. ↑,
65', Dukso M. ↓, Dayneko A. ↑,
65', Doumbia S. ↓, Bamba L. ↑,
70', Maslovskiy V. ↓, Chebotar V. ↑,
77', Tikhonovskiy S. ↓, Teverov R. ↑,
77', Gorbachik V. 🟥,
79', Diallo M. 🟨,
89', Chervyakov Z. ↓, Lisovskiy R. ↑,
89', Skibskiy Y. ↓, Magloire E. ↑,
90+2', 🟨,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 14 in the zone Vysshaya Liga (Relegation) and 12)

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Vitebsk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Smorgon won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 0.8:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Smorgon won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Smorgon
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
24.10.25	Minsk - Smorgon	2:2 ✺
18.10.25	Smorgon - BATE Borisov	1:0 ✺
05.10.25	Slavia Mozyr - Smorgon	3:1 ✺
28.09.25	Smorgon - Neman Grodno	1:0 ✺
24.09.25	Smorgon - Dinamo Minsk	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.3 TWLWL
- FC Vitebsk
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
26.10.25	Vitebsk - ML Vitebsk	0:1 ✺
17.10.25	Dinamo Brest - Vitebsk	2:1 ✺
04.10.25	Vitebsk - Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk	1:0 ✺
27.09.25	Slutsk - Vitebsk	0:1 ✺
20.09.25	Vitebsk - Dinamo Minsk	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
15.06.25	Vitebsk - Smorgon	2:1
28.09.24	Smorgon - Vitebsk	0:3
10.05.24	Vitebsk - Smorgon	0:1
16.10.21	Smorgon - Vitebsk	2:0
28.05.21	Vitebsk - Smorgon	5:0

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