Match Info

Vysshaya Liga - Round 13

Date: 20 June 2025, Friday

Location: Yunost Stadium (Smorgon)

Referee: Shumilov I. (Blr)


	Smorgon		Isloch Minsk

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.75	1.52
	5.74	3.8	1.58
	6	3.75	1.5
	6.3	3.72	1.6	Watch
	5	3.8	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.66 ↑ (4.98)	3.76 ↓ (3.9)	1.58 ↓ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Smorgon
16.4%

Draw
24.7%

Isloch Minsk
58.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.1%

24.4%

56.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.4%

23.5%

58.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Smorgon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Isloch Minsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Smorgon than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Isloch Minsk than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Smorgon - Isloch Minsk Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Isloch (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Isloch (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Isloch Minsk will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Isloch (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
19. Azarko M. (G) 77. Bogdanovich I. 20. Tonkevich V. 3. Intsoen C. 5. Firsov A. 27. Tishko A. 6. Doumbia S. 2. Bamba M. 7. Levkovets A. (C) 8. Maslovskiy V. 4. Diallo M.	1. Klimovich A. (G) 25. Makarenko A. 18. Gomanov K. (C) 3. Tikhomirov I. 31. Zaleskiy A. 87. Kravchenko Y. 22. Bulmaga V. 21. Zhuravlev V. 13. Shestyuk A. 23. Kovalevich M. 7. Rovdo G.
Substitutes
9. Chebotar V. 1. Koltygin A. (G) 63. Rakhimov A. 16. Say D. (G) 10. Sodikov S. 23. Stankevich A. 78. Yablonskiy M.	8. Guz A. 29. Khovalko I. 10. Khvashchinskiy V. 88. Knyshev N. 19. Olaleye A. 17. Rodionov K. 27. Stalbekov N. 28. Svirskiy A. (G) 20. Veretilo O. 89. Yankovskiy K.
Coaches
Dorokhovich S.	Borovsky S. V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
23', 0 - 1, Makarenko A. ⚽, Kravchenko Y. (A),
29', 0 - 2, Zhuravlev V. ⚽,
41', Maslovskiy V. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Diallo M. ↓, Sodikov S. ↑,
58', Intsoen C. 🟨,
65', Maslovskiy V. ↓, Chebotar V. ↑,
65', Tishko A. ↓, Yablonskiy M. ↑,
67', Zhuravlev V. 🟨,
73', Kravchenko Y. ↓, Guz A. ↑,
76', 0 - 3, Shestyuk A. ⚽, Kovalevich M. (A),
79', 0 - 4, Tonkevich V. (Own goal),
84', Rovdo G. ↓, Stalbekov N. ↑,
84', Bulmaga V. ↓, Veretilo O. ↑,
90+1', Shestyuk A. ↓, Olaleye A. ↑,
90+1', Kovalevich M. ↓, Khovalko I. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Pershaya Liga and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Smorgon won 1.

Smorgon is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Isloch has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Isloch is considered a favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Smorgon won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:14. (average 0.9:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Smorgon won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.7:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Smorgon
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
15.06.25	Vitebsk - Smorgon	2:1 ✺
01.06.25	Smorgon - Minsk	0:2 ✺
26.05.25	BATE Borisov - Smorgon	2:2 ✺
16.05.25	Smorgon - Slavia Mozyr	0:2 ✺
11.05.25	Neman Grodno - Smorgon	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 35.7 LLTLW
- Isloch Minsk
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
15.06.25	Isloch Minsk - ML Vitebsk	0:1 ✺
30.05.25	Dinamo Brest - Isloch Minsk	1:2 ✺
23.05.25	Isloch Minsk - Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk	4:0 ✺
17.05.25	Slutsk - Isloch Minsk	1:1 ✺
11.05.25	Isloch Minsk - Dinamo Minsk	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
05.10.24	Isloch Minsk - Smorgon	3:2
16.05.24	Smorgon - Isloch Minsk	1:1
19.08.23	Isloch Minsk - Smorgon	1:0
07.04.23	Smorgon - Isloch Minsk	0:4
Club Friendly
11.02.23	Isloch Minsk - Smorgon	1:2
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
25.07.21	Smorgon - Isloch Minsk	1:2
19.03.21	Isloch Minsk - Smorgon	2:0

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