Match Info

EGYPT: Premier League - Round 19

Date: 23 April 2024, Tuesday

Location: Alexandria Stadium (Alexandria)


	Smouha		Baladeyet El Mahalla

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.1	3.5
	1.95	3.3	3.75	Watch
	2.09	3.15	4.13
	2.09	3.03	4.13
	1.95	3.2	3.6
	1.94	3.29	3.83	Watch
	1.93	2.95	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.93)	3.15 ↓ (3.28)	3.92 ↓ (4.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Smouha
46.8%

Draw
29.5%

Baladeyet El Mahalla
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49%

28.7%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3%

28%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Smouha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Baladeyet El Mahalla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Smouha than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baladeyet El Mahalla than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Smouha - Baladeyet El Mahalla Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Smouha will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Baladeyet El Mahalla will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Soliman E. (G) 4. Haggag B. 15. Arthur J. 21. Mostafa M. 6. Amer A. 7. Canaria 36. Dodo D. 11. Gaber I. 22. Khaled A. 28. Kalawa A. 18. Hassan H.	16. Maher M. (G) 2. Hesham H. 5. Saber M. 33. Reda A. 40. Mohamed Ragab 18. Tula E. B. 7. Ashraf M. 6. Hassan Y. 11. Abdo Semana 66. Hany M. 9. Ashraf H.
Substitutes
27. Ajayi J. 99. Amin A. 23. Ashraf M. (G) 19. El Badry M. 3. El Maghraby M. 13. Essam M. 30. Hassan A. 8. Liadi A. 14. Said M.	99. Amissi M. 27. Amo 17. El Sayed Zayed E. S. A. 1. Hussein A. (G) 13. Ihezuo E. 25. Kahraba 22. Mamdouh K. 14. Marzouk I. 26. Zammouri N.
Coaches
Samy A.	Abdel-Raouf A. G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
14', Hassan Y. 🟨,
33', 1 - 0, Kalawa A. ⚽, Gaber I. (A),
42', 2 - 0, Arthur J. ⚽, Canaria (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Hesham H. ↓, Amissi M. ↑,
46', Amer A. ↓, Liadi A. ↑,
46', Abdo Semana ↓, Kahraba ↑,
49', 3 - 0, Hassan H. ⚽, Liadi A. (A),
56', Hassan Y. ↓, Amo ↑,
64', Hassan H. ↓, Said M. ↑,
66', Ashraf M. ↓, Ihezuo E. ↑,
72', Hany M. ↓, Marzouk I. ↑,
79', Canaria ↓, Ajayi J. ↑,
79', Khaled A. ↓, El Badry M. ↑,
82', 4 - 0, Ajayi J. ⚽, El Badry M. (A),
86', Mostafa M. ↓, Amin A. ↑,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 10 and 14).

Smouha is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Baladeyet El Mahalla is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Smouha is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Smouha won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Smouha SC
Egyptian Premier League
17.04.24	El Gouna - Smouha	1:0 ✺
03.04.24	Ismaily - Smouha	2:1 ✺
10.03.24	Smouha - Ceramica Cleopatra	1:0 ✺
05.03.24	Al Masry - Smouha	2:0 ✺
29.02.24	Smouha - Modern Sport	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLWLT
- Baladeyet El Mahalla
Egyptian Premier League
19.04.24	Baladeyet El Mahalla - El Mokawloon El Arab	2:0 ✺
08.03.24	Baladeyet El Mahalla - El Gouna	1:2 ✺
02.03.24	Ismaily - Baladeyet El Mahalla	0:1 ✺
27.02.24	Al Ahly Cairo - Baladeyet El Mahalla	5:1 ✺
23.02.24	Baladeyet El Mahalla - Ceramica Cleopatra	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Egyptian League Cup
08.01.24	Baladeyet El Mahalla - Smouha	1:0
Egyptian Premier League
26.09.23	Baladeyet El Mahalla - Smouha	0:2

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