The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Concarneau 46.1%
Draw 33.3%
Sochaux 20.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.8%
29.5%
37.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.1%
28.9%
38.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Concarneau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Concarneau's performance.
Sochaux has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sochaux might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Concarneau than the current prediction. (-14%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Concarneau that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sochaux than the current prediction. (+17.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sochaux could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
50%
50%
Concarneau - Sochaux Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Sochaux will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%). Confidence interval (95%) for Sochaux: 15.4% – 84.6%.
40. Patron P. (G) 27. Halby J. 9. Tell J. 4. Jannez G. (C) 6. Seba D. 5. Etcheverria B. 10. Gbelle G. 14. Mercier N. 8. Picouleau M. 26. Sinquin T. 23. Goujon L.
1. Jeannin M. (C) 17. Youssouf B. 26. N'Gatta E. 20. Mendy P. 18. Dode E. 6. Mendes E. 23. Masson J. 28. Boutoutaou A. 15. Mexique J. 7. Gomel B. 9. Djoco K.
Substitutes
30. Boulais R. (G) 21. El Khemiri Y. 28. Hocquet G. 11. Soukouna Y. 20. Tutu G.
39. Joseph V. 19. Lecolier M. 22. Loubao S. 27. Saidi A. 11. Vetro J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Seba D. ⚽,
19', Dode E. 🟨,
35', Halby J. 🟨,
39', Mendes E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Dode E. ↓, Vetro J. ↑,
53', Tell J. 🟨,
64', Mercier N. ↓, Soukouna Y. ↑,
67', Gomel B. ↓, Loubao S. ↑,
71', Tell J. ↓, El Khemiri Y. ↑,
72', Boutoutaou A. ↓, Lecolier M. ↑,
81', Gbelle G. ↓, Hocquet G. ↑,
81', Seba D. ↓, Tutu G. ↑,
82', Masson J. 🟨,
85', Masson J. ↓, Joseph V. ↑,
90+2', Sinquin T. 🟨,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 2).
Recent form of Concarneau has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Sochaux has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Sochaux may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Sochaux might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Concarneau won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
Including home match between the teams, Concarneau won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
Last Results with these Odds
Concarneau - the odds 2.82 are the expected chance of winning is 32.77%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.
World
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Patron P. (G) 
Tell J. 
Jeannin M. (C) 
Youssouf B. 
Mendy P. 
Mendes E. 
Mexique J. 
Joseph V. 
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