Match Info

FRANCE: Coupe de France - 1/32-finals

Date: 22 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Stade Auguste Bonal (Montbéliard)

Referee: Delajod W. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free


	Sochaux		Clermont

	1	X	2
	2.35	3	2.8	Watch
	2.45	3	2.75
	2.48	3.15	3	Watch
	2.5	3.05	3.04
	2.43	2.96	2.96	Watch
	2.5	2.9	2.9
	2.53	2.99	2.99	Watch
	2.48	3.15	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (2.15)	3.03 ↑ (2.9)	2.93 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sochaux
37.6%

Draw
30.7%

Clermont
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.3%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sochaux has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Clermont has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sochaux than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sochaux, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Clermont than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	25%	12.5%

Sochaux - Clermont Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Sochaux will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Clermont will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sochaux: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Patouillet M. (G) 2. Dacosta J. 5. Fontaine T. (C) 4. Peybernes M. 3. Ouammou N. 11. Mendes Da Silva E. 6. Drammeh M. 8. Hoggas K. 10. Jean C. 9. Gnanduillet A. 7. Michel D.	1. Guivarch T. (G) 2. Da Silva D. 5. Jacquet J. 4. Mwimba J. 3. Armougom Y. 7. Magnin Y. (C) 10. Diaby Y. 6. Keita H. 8. Diop O. 9. Bassouamina M. 11. Douane M.
Substitutes
19. Joseph V. 14. Lienard D. 17. Loubao S. 18. Macalou I. 13. Mayela V. 15. Mukanya M. 16. Schubler-Lecart M. (G) 12. Toure L.	12. Baaloudj M. 19. Bouchenna M. 14. Coulibaly I. 13. Diagouraga T. 17. Diallo B. 15. Fakili I. 20. Kabeya E. 18. Maurer A. 16. N'Diaye M. (G)
Coaches
Mokeddem K.	Batlles L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Michel D. ↓, Mayela V. ↑,
64', Drammeh M. 🟨,
68', Mwimba J. 🟨,
72', Diaby Y. ↓, Baaloudj M. ↑,
73', Douane M. ↓, Diallo B. ↑,
73', Hoggas K. ↓, Joseph V. ↑,
74', Diop O. 🟥,
78', Mayela V. ↓, Macalou I. ↑,
85', Armougom Y. ↓, Coulibaly I. ↑,
85', Bassouamina M. ↓, Diagouraga T. ↑,
90+7', Coulibaly I. ↓, Maurer A. ↑,
Penalties (5 - 3)
1, Gnanduillet A. (Pen),
1, Baaloudj M. (Pen),
2, Drammeh M. (Pen),
2, Jacquet J. (Pen),
3, Fontaine T. (Pen),
3, Magnin Y. (Pen),
4, Jean C. (Pen),
4, Da Silva D. (Pen),
5, Macalou I. (Pen),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sochaux won 2.

Sochaux is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Clermont is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Sochaux won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 19:14 (average 1.3:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Sochaux won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13:7 (average 1.9:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Sochaux Montbeliard
French Ligue 3
13.12.24	Dijon - Sochaux	0:0 ✺
06.12.24	Sochaux - Châteauroux	2:2 ✺
22.11.24	Sochaux - Villefranche	2:1 ✺
08.11.24	Versailles - Sochaux	1:1 ✺
01.11.24	Sochaux - Concarneau	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TTWTW
- Clermont Foot
French Ligue 2
13.12.24	Clermont - Rodez	1:1 ✺
06.12.24	Annecy - Clermont	2:0 ✺
22.11.24	Clermont - Metz	1:1 ✺
08.11.24	Ajaccio - Clermont	2:0 ✺
01.11.24	Clermont - Lorient	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
20.12.22	Clermont - Sochaux	0:1
French Ligue 2
08.05.21	Clermont - Sochaux	3:1
08.01.21	Sochaux - Clermont	0:0
06.03.20	Clermont - Sochaux	2:0
04.10.19	Sochaux - Clermont	4:0
01.02.19	Sochaux - Clermont	2:1
24.08.18	Clermont - Sochaux	1:0

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