Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 12

Date: 1 November 2024, Friday

Location: Stade Gabriel Montpied (Clermont-Ferrand)

Referee: Lesage M. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free


	Clermont		Lorient

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.4	1.85	Watch
	3.8	3.5	1.9
	4	3.6	1.85	Watch
	4.13	3.76	1.87
	3.83	3.73	1.87	Watch
	4	3.6	1.8
	4.14	3.72	1.85	Watch
	4	3.6	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.01 ↑ (3.98)	3.61 ↑ (3.56)	1.86 ↓ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Clermont
23.4%

Draw
26%

Lorient
50.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.7%

26.5%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.4%

26.1%

50.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Clermont has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Lorient has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

The ML Model estimate for Clermont aligns with the current prediction.

The ML Model estimate for Lorient aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	5%	65%

Clermont - Lorient Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Clermont will win (votes: 6 - 31.6%). Lorient will win (votes: 12 - 63.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lorient: 41.5% – 84.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. N'Diaye M. (G) 15. Konate C. O. 12. Da Silva D. 97. Jacquet J. 31. Diallo B. 25. Gastien J. 26. Bassouamina M. 6. Keita H. 10. Saivet H. 11. Douane M. 18. Diedhiou F.	38. Mvogo Y. (G) 66. James I. 32. Adjei N. 3. Talbi M. 15. Laporte J. 93. Mvuka Mugisha J. 17. Makengo J. 6. Abergel L. 77. Katseris P. 28. Soumano S. 27. Tosin A.
Substitutes
44. Ackra A. 22. Armougom Y. 77. Baaloudj M. 17. Diop O. 30. Guivarch T. (G) 7. Magnin Y. 20. Mwimba J.	62. Avom A. 9. Bamba M. 2. Igor Silva 1. Leroy B. (G) 10. Pagis P. 21. Ponceau J. 44. Yongwa D.
Coaches
Batlles L.	Pantaloni O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', Abergel L. 🟨,
20', Gastien J. 🟨,
24', James I. 🟨,
44', Katseris P. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 0, Da Silva D. ⚽, Jacquet J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
61', Mvuka Mugisha J. ↓, Pagis P. ↑,
62', Soumano S. ↓, Bamba M. ↑,
62', Bassouamina M. ↓, Diop O. ↑,
69', Keita H. ↓, Ackra A. ↑,
69', Diedhiou F. ↓, Baaloudj M. ↑,
74', Bamba M. ↓, Ponceau J. ↑,
76', 2 - 0, Douane M. ⚽,
78', James I. ↓, Yongwa D. ↑,
78', Makengo J. ↓, Avom A. ↑,
80', Diallo B. 🟨,
81', 2 - 1, Tosin A. (Pen),
81', Saivet H. ↓, Magnin Y. ↑,
82', Douane M. ↓, Armougom Y. ↑,
90+2', 🟨,
90+4', Armougom Y. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Clermont won 2.

Recent matches Clermont is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lorient is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Lorient is a favorite.

There will not play in Clermont: Diaby Y. (Injury) Fakili I. (Ankle Injury) Inchaud M. (Broken ankle)

There will not play in Lorient: Diarra S. (Knee Injury) Fadiga B. (Injury) Le Bris T. (Muscle Injury)

Last 12 head-to-head matches Clermont won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 7:16 (average 0.6:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Clermont won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3:7 (average 0.5:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Clermont Foot
French Ligue 2
29.10.24	Laval - Clermont	1:2 ✺
25.10.24	Clermont - Martigues	0:1 ✺
18.10.24	Bastia - Clermont	0:0 ✺
05.10.24	Clermont - Guingamp	4:1 ✺
27.09.24	Grenoble - Clermont	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WLTWL
- FC Lorient
French Ligue 2
29.10.24	Lorient - Dunkerque	4:2 ✺
25.10.24	Rodez - Lorient	3:3 ✺
19.10.24	Lorient - Annecy	4:2 ✺
05.10.24	Caen - Lorient	1:2 ✺
27.09.24	Lorient - Ajaccio	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
19.05.24	Lorient - Clermont	5:0
12.11.23	Clermont - Lorient	1:0
27.05.23	Clermont - Lorient	2:0
28.08.22	Lorient - Clermont	2:1
13.03.22	Clermont - Lorient	0:2
03.10.21	Lorient - Clermont	1:1
French Ligue 2
15.02.20	Lorient - Clermont	0:1

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