Match Info

National - Round 25

Date: 13 March 2026, Friday

Location: Stade Auguste Bonal (Montbéliard)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Sochaux		Concarneau

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.05	3.35
	2.23	3.11	3.58
	2.14	3.04	3.38	Watch
	2.15	2.8	3.3
	2.11	2.96	3.48	Watch
	1.8	3	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (1.91)	2.99 ↓ (3.27)	3.45 ↓ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sochaux
43.3%

Draw
30.3%

Concarneau
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.9%

28%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

27.5%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sochaux has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Concarneau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sochaux than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sochaux, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Concarneau than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Sochaux - Concarneau Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Sochaux (votes: 3 - 60%). Concarneau (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Sochaux will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jeannin M. (G) 17. Youssouf B. 4. Vitelli A. (C) 14. Peybernes M. 24. Tavares D. 15. Mexique J. 23. Masson J. 7. Gomel B. 5. Baghdadi S. 28. Boutoutaou A. 9. Djoco K.	1. Viot V. (G) 27. Halby J. 26. Sinquin T. 4. Jannez G. (C) 6. Seba D. 11. Soukouna Y. 23. Goujon L. 10. Gbelle G. 8. Picouleau M. 3. Inquel S. 21. Baldoni S.
Substitutes
10. Fofana B. 3. Gomis D. 6. Mendes E. 12. Sidibe A. 11. Vetro J.	18. Da Silva F. 5. Etcheverria B. 20. Ntumi M. 40. Patron P. (G) 7. Varvat J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Djoco K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', 2 - 0, Djoco K. ⚽, Baghdadi S. (A),
61', Inquel S. ↓, Etcheverria B. ↑,
66', Gbelle G. ↓, Ntumi M. ↑,
66', Soukouna Y. ↓, Da Silva F. ↑,
72', Djoco K. ↓, Fofana B. ↑,
72', Boutoutaou A. ↓, Sidibe A. ↑,
74', Baldoni S. ↓, Varvat J. ↑,
77', Seba D. 🟨,
78', Da Silva F. 🟨,
85', Baghdadi S. ↓, Mendes E. ↑,
90+1', Halby J. 🟥,
90+3', Tavares D. ↓, Vetro J. ↑,
90+3', Mendes E. ↓, Gomis D. ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 2 (Promotion: ) and 8).

Sochaux is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Concarneau's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Concarneau may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Sochaux is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Sochaux won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Sochaux won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Concarneau	9	4	4	1	12:8	4	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Sochaux Montbeliard
French Ligue 3
27.02.26	Sochaux - Villefranche	2:1 ✺
20.02.26	Caen - Sochaux	1:3 ✺
13.02.26	Sochaux - Paris 13 Atletico	1:1 ✺
06.02.26	Stade Briochin - Sochaux	1:1 ✺
30.01.26	Sochaux - Rouen FC	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWTTT
- US Concarneau
French Ligue 3
06.03.26	Concarneau - Dijon	1:1 ✺
27.02.26	Fleury 91 - Concarneau	0:4 ✺
20.02.26	Concarneau - Versailles	0:2 ✺
12.02.26	Quevilly - Concarneau	2:1 ✺
06.02.26	Concarneau - Aubagne	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
03.10.25	Concarneau - Sochaux	1:0
28.03.25	Concarneau - Sochaux	1:1
01.11.24	Sochaux - Concarneau	1:0

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