Match Info

Date: 2 September 2022, Friday

Location: Stade Auguste Bonal (Montbéliard)

Referee: Toulliou W. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video


	Sochaux		Laval

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.3	4.2	Watch
	1.93	3.25	4
	1.95	3.2	3.9
	1.9	3.15	4
	1.93	3.31	4.62
	1.91	3.1	4.2	Watch
	1.86	3.45	4.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.72)	3.25 ↓ (3.31)	4.17 ↓ (5.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sochaux
49%

Draw
28.7%

Laval
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

27.9%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8%

27.3%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sochaux has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Laval has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sochaux than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sochaux, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Laval than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
51.9%	29.6%	18.5%

Sochaux - Laval Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Sochaux will win (votes: 14 - 51.9%). Laval will win (votes: 5 - 18.5%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 29.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sochaux: 33.1% – 70.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 6 and 13).

Sochaux has the most likely position - 2 (10.29%), has project points - 62, has currently - 10, has a very small chance of relegated (1%), has a chance of promoted (22%), has a small chance of win league (10%).

Laval has the most likely position - 17 (8.7%), has project points - 44, has currently - 7, has a chance of relegated (24%), has a very small chance of promoted (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 33, importance 34, match rating 33. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sochaux won 1.

Recent matches Sochaux is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Laval is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Sochaux is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Sochaux won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Sochaux won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Sochaux Montbeliard
French Ligue 2
30.08.22	Guingamp - Sochaux	1:2 ✺
27.08.22	Sochaux - Niort	3:0 ✺
20.08.22	Pau - Sochaux	0:3 ✺
13.08.22	Sochaux - Amiens	0:1 ✺
06.08.22	Grenoble - Sochaux	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWWLL
- Stade Laval
French Ligue 2
30.08.22	Laval - Le Havre	1:3 ✺
27.08.22	Nîmes - Laval	1:0 ✺
20.08.22	Laval - Metz	3:3 ✺
13.08.22	Annecy - Laval	0:1 ✺
06.08.22	Laval - Guingamp	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
17.02.17	Sochaux - Laval	1:1
20.09.16	Laval - Sochaux	1:1
08.04.16	Laval - Sochaux	1:2
24.11.15	Sochaux - Laval	0:0
03.04.15	Laval - Sochaux	2:2
24.10.14	Sochaux - Laval	1:1
French Coupe de la Ligue
12.08.14	Laval - Sochaux	2:0

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