The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Guingamp 70.8%
Draw 18.9%
Sochaux 10.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.9%
24.6%
17.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.2%
24.5%
17.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guingamp has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guingamp's performance.
Sochaux has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sochaux might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guingamp than the current prediction. (-12.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guingamp that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sochaux than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sochaux could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Guingamp - Sochaux Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Niasse B. (G) 2. Sissoko A. 6. Riou M. 5. Lemonnier P. 3. Ourega D. 8. Hemia A. 4. Louiserre D. (C) 7. Guendouz S. 11. Luvambo T. 10. Picard H. 9. Labeau B.
1. Patouillet M. (G) 2. Dacosta J. 5. Fontaine T. (C) 4. Mayela V. 8. Macalou I. 6. Bayanginisa H. 11. Michel D. 3. Silva A. 10. Perreira de Sa R. 9. Gnanduillet A. 7. Lecolier M.
Substitutes
16. Bartouche-Selbonne T. (G) 14. Gomis D. 13. Maronnier L. 20. Mendes J. A. 18. Nair S. 15. Phiri L. 12. Sidibe K. 17. Siwe J. 19. Touzghar R.
14. Joseph V. 13. Loubao S. 17. Mouyema N. K. 15. Mukanya M. 18. N'Gatta E. 12. Ouammou N. 16. Pierre A. (G)
Coaches
Ripoll S.
Mokeddem K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
12', 0 - 1, Fontaine T. ⚽,
29', Patouillet M. 🟨,
38', 1 - 1, Riou M. ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 2, Gnanduillet A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', 2 - 2, Guendouz S. ⚽, Picard H. (A),
64', Macalou I. ↓, Loubao S. ↑,
64', Perreira de Sa R. ↓, Joseph V. ↑,
64', Luvambo T. ↓, Siwe J. ↑,
64', Ourega D. ↓, Maronnier L. ↑,
71', Picard H. ↓, Mendes J. A. ↑,
71', Guendouz S. ↓, Sidibe K. ↑,
72', Gnanduillet A. ↓, Mukanya M. ↑,
75', Silva A. ↓, N'Gatta E. ↑,
75', Lecolier M. ↓, Mouyema N. K. ↑,
85', Sissoko A. 🟥,
87', Labeau B. ↓, Nair S. ↑,
90+5', Sidibe K. 🟨,
Penalties (9 - 8)
1, Michel D. (Pen),
1, Louiserre D. (Pen),
2, Fontaine T. (Pen),
2, Siwe J. (Pen),
3, Dacosta J. (Pen),
3, Hemia A. (Pen),
4, Joseph V. (Pen),
4, Sidibe K. (Pen),
5, Mayela V. (Pen),
5, Riou M. (Pen),
6, Mukanya M. (Pen),
6, Lemonnier P. (Pen),
7, Bayanginisa H. (Pen),
7, Maronnier L. (Pen),
8, Loubao S. (Pen),
8, Nair S. (Pen),
9, Mouyema N. K. (Pen),
9, Mendes J. A. (Pen),
10, Patouillet M. (Pen),
10, Niasse B. (Pen),
11, Fontaine T. (Pen),
11, Louiserre D. (Pen),
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Guingamp won 2.
Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.
Sochaux could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Sochaux have a series of home games.
In this match Guingamp is the unquestionable favorite.
Last 11 head-to-head matches Guingamp won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 14:12 (average 1.3:1.1).
Including matches at home between the teams Guingamp won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:6 (average 1.6:1.2).