Match Info

Premier League - Round 11

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday


	Sofapaka		APS Bomet

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.82	3.55
	2.11	2.8	3.46
	2.15	2.89	3.54	Watch
	2.08	2.83	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.15)	2.84 ↓ (2.89)	3.54 (3.54)

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sofapaka
42.7%

Draw
31.8%

APS Bomet
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

31.6%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

30.5%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sofapaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

APS Bomet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sofapaka than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for APS Bomet than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Sofapaka - APS Bomet Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', 🟥,
90+4', 🟥,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Super League).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Sofapaka could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sofapaka FC
Kenyan Premier League
24.11.25	Sofapaka - Ulinzi Stars	1:3 ✺
15.11.25	Bandari - Sofapaka	2:0 ✺
10.11.25	Sofapaka - Posta Rangers	2:0 ✺
05.11.25	Police FC - Sofapaka	1:0 ✺
01.11.25	Nairobi United - Sofapaka	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LLWLW
- APS Bomet FC
Kenyan Premier League
25.11.25	Gor Mahia - APS Bomet	1:4 ✺
19.11.25	APS Bomet - Ulinzi Stars	0:1 ✺
09.11.25	APS Bomet - Mathare United	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Bidco United - APS Bomet	0:0 ✺
29.10.25	APS Bomet - Kakamega Homeboyz	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.5 WLTTL

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