Match Info

KENYA: Premier League - Round 21

Date: 15 February 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3


	Sofapaka		Kenya CB

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.9	2.8
	3.06	3.08	2.54
	3	2.9	2.49	Watch
	2.5	2.9	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↓ (3.75)	2.95 ↑ (2.9)	2.66 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sofapaka
33.6%

Draw
31.5%

Kenya CB
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24%

31%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.3%

30.1%

46.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sofapaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sofapaka's performance.

Kenya CB has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kenya CB might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sofapaka than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sofapaka that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kenya CB than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kenya CB could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	75%	25%

Sofapaka - Kenya CB Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. KCB will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
36', 1 - 0, Onganya J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
67', Melubo C. 🟥,
72', 2 - 0, Omondi E. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 10 and 4).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sofapaka won 2.

Sofapaka is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches KCB is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

KCB will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Sofapaka won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13:11 (average 1:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Sofapaka won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:7 (average 1.2:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sofapaka FC
Kenyan Premier League
08.02.25	Bandari - Sofapaka	1:0 ✺
02.02.25	Police FC - Sofapaka	1:1 ✺
26.01.25	Sofapaka - Shabana	0:1 ✺
22.01.25	Gor Mahia - Sofapaka	2:0 ✺
19.01.25	Sofapaka - Posta Rangers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LTLLW
- Kenya Commercial Bank SC
Kenyan Premier League
09.02.25	Kenya CB - Muranga Seal	2:0 ✺
02.02.25	Tusker - Kenya CB	0:0 ✺
22.01.25	Kenya CB - AFC Leopards	2:4 ✺
19.01.25	Nairobi City Stars - Kenya CB	1:1 ✺
21.12.24	Kenya CB - Mara Sugar	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
12.12.24	Kenya CB - Sofapaka	0:0
03.02.24	Sofapaka - Kenya CB	2:1
01.11.23	Kenya CB - Sofapaka	0:3
08.02.23	Sofapaka - Kenya CB	0:1
05.03.22	Kenya CB - Sofapaka	0:0
24.10.21	Sofapaka - Kenya CB	1:2
29.05.21	Kenya CB - Sofapaka	0:1

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