Match Info

KENYA: Premier League - Round 18

Date: 26 January 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3


	Sofapaka		Shabana

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.95	2.74
	2.48	2.97	2.87	Watch
	2	2.9	3.75
	2.44	2.93	2.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.06)	2.94 ↓ (3.03)	3.04 ↓ (3.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sofapaka
38.9%

Draw
31%

Shabana
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

30.2%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6%

29.4%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sofapaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sofapaka's form might have worsened.

Shabana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sofapaka than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sofapaka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shabana than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shabana, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sofapaka - Shabana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
26', 0 - 1, Omuri E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sofapaka FC
Kenyan Premier League
22.01.25	Gor Mahia - Sofapaka	2:0 ✺
19.01.25	Sofapaka - Posta Rangers	2:1 ✺
21.12.24	Bidco United - Sofapaka	0:2 ✺
15.12.24	Sofapaka - AFC Leopards	1:1 ✺
12.12.24	Kenya CB - Sofapaka	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 LWWTT
- Shabana FC
Kenyan Premier League
19.01.25	Bandari - Shabana	1:1 ✺
11.01.25	Shabana - Tusker	2:1 ✺
21.12.24	Mathare United - Shabana	1:0 ✺
15.12.24	Shabana - Kenya CB	2:0 ✺
11.12.24	Gor Mahia - Shabana	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
23.10.24	Shabana - Sofapaka	0:1
04.05.24	Sofapaka - Shabana	0:1
16.12.23	Shabana - Sofapaka	4:1

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