Match Info

KENYA: Premier League - Round 21

Date: 14 February 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3


	Nairobi City Stars		Kakamega Homeboyz

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.62	2.5	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (2.32)	2.5 ↓ (2.9)	2.5 ↓ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 18.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nairobi City Stars
32.3%

Draw
33.9%

Kakamega Homeboyz
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

31.5%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

32%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nairobi City Stars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nairobi City Stars's form might have worsened.

Kakamega Homeboyz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nairobi City Stars than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nairobi City Stars, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kakamega Homeboyz than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kakamega Homeboyz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Nairobi City Stars - Kakamega Homeboyz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
9', 0 - 1, Otunga G. ⚽,
13', 0 - 2, Otieno H. ⚽,
15', 0 - 3, Shumah M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
49', 0 - 4, Shumah M. ⚽,
88', 0 - 5, Omollo H. ⚽,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Super League and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nairobi City won 1.

Nairobi City is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Homeboyz is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Nairobi City will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Nairobi City won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8:12 (average 0.9:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Nairobi City won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:4 (average 0.8:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nairobi City Stars
Kenyan Premier League
08.02.25	Bidco United - Nairobi City Stars	1:1 ✺
02.02.25	Nairobi City Stars - AFC Leopards	0:1 ✺
26.01.25	Bandari - Nairobi City Stars	1:0 ✺
19.01.25	Nairobi City Stars - Kenya CB	1:1 ✺
11.01.25	Posta Rangers - Nairobi City Stars	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TLLTL
- Kakamega Homeboyz
Kenyan Premier League
09.02.25	Ulinzi Stars - Kakamega Homeboyz	0:0 ✺
01.02.25	Kakamega Homeboyz - Mara Sugar	2:0 ✺
26.01.25	Kakamega Homeboyz - Gor Mahia	0:0 ✺
18.01.25	Kakamega Homeboyz - Bidco United	1:0 ✺
11.01.25	Talanta - Kakamega Homeboyz	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
23.10.24	Kakamega Homeboyz - Nairobi City Stars	2:0
22.12.23	Kakamega Homeboyz - Nairobi City Stars	0:1
26.04.23	Nairobi City Stars - Kakamega Homeboyz	0:0
18.02.23	Kakamega Homeboyz - Nairobi City Stars	0:0
24.01.22	Nairobi City Stars - Kakamega Homeboyz	1:1
20.01.22	Kakamega Homeboyz - Nairobi City Stars	4:4
19.06.21	Nairobi City Stars - Kakamega Homeboyz	1:0

Nairobi City Stars - Kakamega Homeboyz: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide