Match Info

KENYA: Premier League - Round 19

Date: 2 February 2025, Sunday


	Nairobi City Stars		AFC Leopards

	1	X	2
	3.1	2.9	2.31
	3.03	3.03	2.22
	2.32	3.17	2.94
	3.15	2.93	2.27
	3.1	2.9	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↑ (2.32)	2.99 ↓ (3.17)	2.41 ↓ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nairobi City Stars
31.2%

Draw
30.7%

AFC Leopards
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

29%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

28.5%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nairobi City Stars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nairobi City Stars's form might have worsened.

AFC Leopards has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting AFC Leopards's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nairobi City Stars than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nairobi City Stars, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Leopards than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for AFC Leopards, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
73', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Premier League (Relegation) and 6).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nairobi City won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Nairobi City could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Nairobi City won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10:12 (average 0.9:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Nairobi City won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:5 (average 1.2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nairobi City Stars
Kenyan Premier League
26.01.25	Bandari - Nairobi City Stars	1:0 ✺
19.01.25	Nairobi City Stars - Kenya CB	1:1 ✺
11.01.25	Posta Rangers - Nairobi City Stars	2:1 ✺
22.12.24	Ulinzi Stars - Nairobi City Stars	2:1 ✺
14.12.24	Nairobi City Stars - Talanta	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LTLLT
- AFC Leopards
Kenyan Premier League
25.01.25	AFC Leopards - Muranga Seal	1:1 ✺
22.01.25	Kenya CB - AFC Leopards	2:4 ✺
18.01.25	AFC Leopards - Talanta	2:4 ✺
22.12.24	AFC Leopards - Bandari	2:0 ✺
15.12.24	Sofapaka - AFC Leopards	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
29.09.24	AFC Leopards - Nairobi City Stars	2:1
21.01.24	AFC Leopards - Nairobi City Stars	2:0
04.11.23	Nairobi City Stars - AFC Leopards	3:2
29.05.23	AFC Leopards - Nairobi City Stars	1:2
04.01.23	Nairobi City Stars - AFC Leopards	0:1
06.06.22	AFC Leopards - Nairobi City Stars	1:1
05.01.22	Nairobi City Stars - AFC Leopards	0:1

Nairobi City Stars - AFC Leopards: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide