Match Info

KENYA: PREMIER LEAGUE

Date: 25 April 2023, Tuesday

Location: Nyayo National Stadium (Nairobi)


	Sofapaka		Wazito

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.44	4.75
	1.74	3.15	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.75)	3.3 ↑ (3.03)	4.78 ↓ (5.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sofapaka
53.1%

Draw
27.8%

Wazito
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

30%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

19.6%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sofapaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Wazito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sofapaka than the current prediction. (-19.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sofapaka that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wazito than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wazito could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	11.1%	11.1%

Sofapaka - Wazito Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Sofapaka will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Wazito will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sofapaka: 50.6% – 100%.

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 12 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Super League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sofapaka won 5.

Sofapaka is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Wazito has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Sofapaka could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Sofapaka is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Sofapaka won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Sofapaka won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sofapaka FC
Kenyan Premier League
22.04.23	Sofapaka - Bidco United	0:2 ✺
17.04.23	Talanta - Sofapaka	1:1 ✺
13.04.23	Sofapaka - Ulinzi Stars	2:2 ✺
09.04.23	Tusker - Sofapaka	2:0 ✺
05.04.23	Sofapaka - Gor Mahia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LTTLT
- Wazito FC
Kenyan Premier League
19.04.23	Tusker - Wazito	2:0 ✺
12.04.23	Wazito - Nzoia United	0:3 ✺
09.04.23	Talanta - Wazito	2:0 ✺
29.03.23	Kariobangi Sharks - Wazito	2:2 ✺
16.03.23	Wazito - Nairobi City Stars	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
04.02.23	Wazito - Sofapaka	0:1
12.02.22	Wazito - Sofapaka	1:2
08.12.21	Sofapaka - Wazito	2:1
14.08.21	Wazito - Sofapaka	0:3
16.05.21	Sofapaka - Wazito	2:0
10.11.19	Sofapaka - Wazito	2:1
30.06.18	Wazito - Sofapaka	0:2

Sofapaka - Wazito: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide