Match Info

OBOS-ligaen - Round 5

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Fosshaugane Campus (Sogndal)

Referee: Tennoy M. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play


	Sogndal		Mjøndalen

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.1	5.5
	1.65	3.8	4.5
	1.53	4.5	5.5	Watch
	1.52	4.48	5.85
	1.56	4.19	5.4	Watch
	1.67	3.6	4.5
	1.57	4.25	5.32	Watch
	1.53	4.5	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.68)	4.18 ↑ (3.94)	5.26 ↑ (4.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sogndal
59.7%

Draw
22.4%

Mjøndalen
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.1%

23.9%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.7%

25.4%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sogndal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Mjøndalen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

The ML Model estimate for Sogndal aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mjøndalen than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Sogndal - Mjøndalen Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Mjøndalen (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Mjøndalen (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jendal L. (G) 2. Bras D. 14. Haruna J. 33. Granheim S. A. 17. Sjolstad M. 6. Hoyland M. 18. Hagen V. 7. Pedersen S. 16. Vapne L. 19. Flataker E. (C) 9. Hintsa O.	87. Oy L. (G) 26. Eriksen S. 5. Midtgarden E. (C) 2. Vik I. 15. Kvam F. 17. Bata K. 10. Neto L. 28. Sawaneh E. 11. Bruusgaard J. 18. Arsbog N. 20. Conteh A.
Substitutes
36. Aroy M. 77. Borgthorsson O. 13. Flo P. 88. Onyango R. 32. Oren M. 29. Steinset K. 38. Sundal A. (G)	24. Birk D. 21. Bratvold S. 13. Bro P. S. (G) 14. Midtgard O. 4. Mrakovic T. 7. Reutersward L. 37. Singh B.
Coaches
Pimenta L.	Nicol K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', Kvam F. 🟨,
67', Bruusgaard J. ↓, Midtgard O. ↑,
74', Sawaneh E. ↓, Reutersward L. ↑,
76', Neto L. 🟨,
78', Pedersen S. ↓, Borgthorsson O. ↑,
81', Arsbog N. ↓, Singh B. ↑,
81', Bata K. ↓, Birk D. ↑,
85', Haruna J. ↓, Flo P. ↑,
85', Hagen V. ↓, Onyango R. ↑,
85', Vapne L. ↓, Nundal J. ↑,
90+4', 1 - 0, Hintsa O. ⚽,
90+7', Hintsa O. ↓, Steinset K. ↑,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 and 14 in the zone OBOS~ligaen (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sogndal won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Sogndal is considered a favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Sogndal won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.5:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Sogndal won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 2:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sogndal Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
28.04.25	Sogndal - Odd	3:2 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
24.04.25	Sandviken - Sogndal	0:4 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
21.04.25	Ranheim - Sogndal	1:2 ✺
05.04.25	Sogndal - Aalesunds	3:4 ✺
31.03.25	Start - Sogndal	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWWLL
- Mjøndalen IF
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
28.04.25	Mjøndalen - Start	2:3 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
24.04.25	Mjøndalen - Strømsgodset	2:1 penalties ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
21.04.25	Aalesunds - Mjøndalen	0:0 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
12.04.25	Åssiden - Mjøndalen	1:4 ET ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
05.04.25	Mjøndalen - Raufoss	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.2 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
21.10.24	Mjøndalen - Sogndal	0:0
06.04.24	Sogndal - Mjøndalen	3:1
12.11.23	Sogndal - Mjøndalen	1:1
10.06.23	Mjøndalen - Sogndal	0:0
14.08.22	Mjøndalen - Sogndal	0:4
27.06.22	Sogndal - Mjøndalen	1:0
Norwegian Eliteserien
28.12.20	Mjøndalen - Sogndal	3:2

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