Match Info

POLAND: III Liga - Group I - Round 16

Date: 9 November 2024, Saturday


	Sokół Aleksandrów Łódzki		Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.5	1.9
	2.95	3.55	2.1
	3.31	3.54	1.91
	3.28	3.63	1.97
	3.28	3.5	1.97
	3.1	3.55	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.19 ↑ (2.48)	3.55 ↑ (3.4)	1.98 ↓ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sokół Aleksandrów Łódzki
28.5%

Draw
25.6%

Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

26.7%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

26.9%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sokół Aleksandrów Łódzki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sokół Aleksandrów Łódzki's form might have worsened.

Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sokół Aleksandrów Łódzki than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sokół Aleksandrów Łódzki, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sokół Aleksandrów Łódzki - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
32', 0 - 1, Pienkowski M. ⚽,
45+1', 0 - 2, Baldyga D. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', 0 - 3, Baldyga D. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sokół Aleksandrów Łódzki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
03.11.24	Unia Skierniewice - Sokół Aleksandrów Łódzki	2:0 ✺
26.10.24	Sokół Aleksandrów Łódzki - ŁKS Łomża	0:2 ✺
20.10.24	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Sokół Aleksandrów Łódzki	1:0 ✺
12.10.24	Sokół Aleksandrów Łódzki - Victoria Sulejówek	0:1 ✺
06.10.24	Wisła Płock II - Sokół Aleksandrów Łódzki	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
03.11.24	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Wigry Suwałki	1:2 ✺
26.10.24	Mławianka Mława - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	2:0 ✺
20.10.24	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Wikielec	4:1 ✺
11.10.24	Broń Radom - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	1:0 ✺
05.10.24	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Warta Sieradz	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
21.05.22	Sokół Aleksandrów Łódzki - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	3:4
17.10.21	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Sokół Aleksandrów Łódzki	0:0
24.04.21	Sokół Aleksandrów Łódzki - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	0:0
02.09.20	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Sokół Aleksandrów Łódzki	0:2
02.11.19	Sokół Aleksandrów Łódzki - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	5:2
22.06.19	Sokół Aleksandrów Łódzki - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	2:3
18.11.18	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Sokół Aleksandrów Łódzki	0:2

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