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Current Win Probability
Sol de América 44.7%
Draw 28.6%
Sportivo Carapeguá 26.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.9%
26.4%
27.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.1%
27.1%
27%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sol de América has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
Sportivo Carapeguá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sol de América than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Carapeguá than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
33.3%
0%
Sol de América - Sportivo Carapeguá Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Sol de América will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Kovacs E. ⚽,
9', Formigli J. 🟥,
23', 2 - 0, Leguizamon Samudio F. S. ⚽,
32', 2 - 1, Cabrera A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', 2 - 2, Aquino M. ⚽,
73', 2 - 3, Gonzalez H. ⚽,
90+4', 2 - 4, Vera A. ⚽,
Preview
Two table neighbours face each other in what promises to be a tight contest (ranked 5th and 7th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sol de América won 2.
Currently, both sides are showing commendable stability on the pitch.
Sol de América is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Sol de América has recorded 4 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 15:14 (averaging 1.1:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Sol de América against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 7:7 goals (averaging 1.2:1.2 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Sp. Carapegua
28
12
6
10
36:41
-5
42
7
Sol de America
28
9
14
5
35:29
6
41
Last Results with these Odds
Sol de América - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 45.94%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
Sportivo Carapeguá - the odds 3.35 are the expected chance of winning is 27.7%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.
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